All four of the junior middleweight titles will be on the line with an undisputed champion to be crowned when Jermell Charlo defends his IBF, WBC, WBA and The Ring belts and Brian Castano puts his WBO strap up for grabs.
The two men will collide at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas, this Saturday, July 17, and looking at the Charlo vs Castano odds it is the former that is the betting favorite for this bout.
Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano odds with Charlo listed as the -275 favorite and Castano the +200 underdog. These betting lines mean that you would have to wager $275 to profit $100 with a Charlo win, while a $100 bet on a Castano victory could profit you $200.
Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano Odds
Odds as of July 17 at Bovada
We can analyze the Charlo vs Castano odds further with our sports betting calculator and the -275 line for Jermell represents an implied win probability of 73.33 percent while the +200 odds have an implied win probability of 33.33 percent.
Keen on making a bet for this undisputed title fight but don’t how to go about it? Our great how to bet on boxing guide is an awesome resource that will provide you step-by-step instructions into placing a wager on the bout. Also, our boxing odds page has a big list of all of the upcoming boxing betting lines.
Charlo vs Castano Odds Analysis
Although Charlo has one blemish on his record while Castano doesn’t, seeing him as the favorite isn’t overly surprising. “Iron Man” has been the betting favorite in each of the fights that there have been betting odds available for. He was even a huge -1200 favorite in his decision loss to Tony Harrison in 2018, a loss he avenged a year later with a knockout win.
Despite being a favorite in all of the available fights, this is his second tightest line, with the Erickson Lubin bout in 2017 providing a closer betting option.
Castano An Underdog For the Second Time
Carrying a 17-0-1 record you may be licking your chops to wager on Castano as a plus-money option. “El Boxi” has been the betting favorite in three of his last four fights but in the lone bout as an underdog, the fight ended in a split draw in his US debut against Erislandy Lara. While as a professional, Charlo is his toughest test, but as an amateur Castano has wins over Errol Spence and Sergiy Derevyanchnko.
Charlo vs Castano Preview & Prediction
As mentioned, Castano holds a 17-0-1 record and 12 of those victories ended by way of knockout and while he had the split draw in his US debut, he’s looked more comfortable in the two American fights since.
El Boxi is an aggressive fighter with fast feet that allows him to close the distance rapidly. When he gets on the inside he puts together nice combinations with noticeable power that has resulted in a high knockout percentage. He mixes his approach up well, going from the body to the head with no telegraphing. With Castano’s aggressive nature, he does walk onto punches but he’s willing to absorb a shot to land one of his own and tire his foes out.
Charlo Must Use Length
Jermell also likes to be the aggressor in the ring but won’t necessarily sit in the pocket and exchange hands rather keep a bit of distance as he uses his precision to pick his foes apart. Sporting a 34-1 record with 18 knockouts he has the power to turn heads and each of his last three victories have come in this manner.
Iron Man will have a four-inch reach advantage and if he snaps out his jab and thwarts Castano’s entries he can have success. Additionally, his stiff counters when he is trapped will be extremely important to gain the attention of the judges if it goes that far because if he just covers up and hopes Castano gets tired he’ll lose on the scorecards.
Charlo vs Castano Pick
A really interesting fight and in the past Charlo hasn’t enjoyed getting hit, sometimes fighting erratically after eating a stiff shot. Additionally, he will open up with big hooks but needs room to work and Castano won’t allow that. El Boxi will be in danger as he closes the distance so that he can go to work on the inside.
If Castano can handle the power of Charlo and bully his way to the inside I think he can tire Iron Man and earn a decision win. That said, if Charlo dictates the pace and distance he will cruise to victory.
Prediction: Jermell Charlo (-275) via decision
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