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Boxing: Terence Crawford vs Errol Spence Jr. Odds and Prediction

Terence Crawford vs Errol Spence Jr. Betting Odds

The welterweight division could be in for a huge unification bout later this year when the second-best pound-for-pound boxer in the world, Terence “Bud” Crawford, goes toe to toe with the No. 5 pound-for-pound boxer, Errol “The Truth” Spence Jr. The two exchanged jabs on social media leading to a phone call and an agreement that the two would fight. Crawford, the 36-0 WBO welterweight champion, is a +105 underdog with Spence, the 26-0 WBC and IBF welterweight champ, coming back as the -135 favorite.

Odds Analysis

Seeing the odds this tight should come as no surprise as you are looking at two of the top five pound-for-pound boxers in the world. What did come as a bit of a surprise to me was that Spence is set as the early favorite as he is currently recovering from a bad car accident following his split-decision win over Shawn Porter in September. That said, The Truth has never been an underdog so these odds follow suit with his previous bouts. As for Crawford, this is the first time he has been an underdog over his career, which suggests there is value on Bud.

How Will This Fight Play Out?

Crawford has extremely fast and accurate hands, often doubling or tripling up on his jab before firing one of his power punches. What makes him even more of a difficult opponent is he looks just as comfortable fighting southpaw as he does boxing orthodox. Additionally, his exceptional reflexes and head movement allow him to avoid many strikes and that, combined with his hand speed, makes him a dangerous counter-striker. That said, there are times that he becomes the aggressor and can be caught lunging in and not keeping his hands high in protection.

Despite being slightly taller than Crawford, Spence will have a two-inch reach disadvantage which will require him to get on the inside a little more to land his power strikes. The Truth is primarily a southpaw so if Crawford opens up the same way, he should have a slight advantage on the jab due to the reach and the speed with which he throws it. Getting on the inside shouldn’t be that difficult, though, as Spence is very aggressive, not giving his opponents a lot of room to breathe as he inches his way in with the jab before winging hooks to the body early and often.

The biggest concern for me is how Spence will look following his scary car accident. Lastly, with Spence likely leading the dance, Crawford will have his opportunities to demonstrate his counters, but Spence could bully him against the ropes and have success.

Prediction: Terence Crawford (+105) via decision

Terence Crawford vs Errol Spence Jr. Betting Odds
Terence Crawford+105
Errol Spence Jr.-135

Odds as of January 8 at Bovada