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2021 Phoenix Open Odds: Rahm the Man to Beat

Bubba Watson hits a tee shot at the Phoenix Open. Watson is tied for 10th in 2021 Phoenix Open odds.

The PGA Tour hits the desert this week for the 2021 edition of the Phoenix Open. According to sportsbooks, Jon Rahm is the favorite to win the title at TPC Scottsdale in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Rahm is the +650 front-runner at Bovada, with Justin Thomas (+900), Rory McIlroy (+1000), Xander Schauffele (+1100), Webb Simpson (+1600), Daniel Berger (+2000), Hideki Matsuyama (+2200), Harris English (+2800), Sungjae Im (+2800) and Will Zalatoris (+2800) behind the Spaniard on the oddsboard.

Here’s a look at the golfers with the likeliest odds to emerge triumphant this week:

Who is Favored to Win the Phoenix Open?

2021 Phoenix Open Odds
Jon Rahm+650
Justin Thomas+900
Rory McIlroy+1000
Xander Schauffele +1100
Webb Simpson+1600
Daniel Berger+2000
Hideki Matsuyama+2200
Harris English+2800
Sungjae Im+2800
Will Zalatoris+2800
Brooks Koepka+3300
Bubba Watson+4000
Rickie Fowler+4000
Scottie Scheffler+4000
Gary Woodland+5000
Matthew Wolff+5000
Ryan Palmer+5000
Billy Horschel+5500
Corey Conners+6600
Jason Day+6600

Odds as of February 4 at Bovada

To learn more about wagering on the links, check out our How to Bet on Golf page. Looking to put some money down? Our Best Golf Sites article will help you find the sportsbook that’s right for you. 

Course and Tournament Information

  • Course: TPC Scottsdale (Stadium)
  • Location: Scottsdale, Arizona
  • Dates: February 4-7, 2021
  • Par: 71
  • Yardage: 7,261 yards
  • Purse: $7.3 million

Simpson Returns to Defend His Title

Simpson, the 2020 Phoenix Open champ, will return to the Grand Canyon State looking to successfully defend a title for the first time in his career. Despite bogeying the 15th in the final round last year, Simpson made consecutive birdies on the 71st and 72nd holes to head to a playoff with Tony Finau.

Simpson went on to birdie the first playoff hole to notch his seventh PGA Tour title and first of two in 2020. Thomas, who shot a Sunday 65 (the best round of the day), placed T-3 alongside Bubba Watson and Nate Lashley.

Rowdy Phoenix Open Will Have a Different Look This Year

Due to the lack of spectators in attendance, the usually boisterous Phoenix Open will be significantly quieter this time around – especially around the par-3 16th hole. There will be only 5,000 fans allowed on the grounds per day due to COVID-19 protocols.

McIlroy is teeing it up at the Phoenix Open for the first time in his career. The two-time FedExCup winner is in the middle of an incredibly busy stretch that has him playing nine events in 12 weeks. 

Given Rahm’s recent showings, it’s unsurprising to see him tabbed as the favorite. Rahm, an Arizona State alum, has notched three straight top-10 finishes on the tour and was T-2 going into the weekend at last week’s Farmers Insurance Open.

Phoenix Open Picks

Hideki Matsuyama +2200

Matsuyama is no stranger to finding success at the Phoenix Open, having won here in both 2016 and 2017. The native of Japan is coming off a poor T-53 last week following a T-19 at the Sony Open in Hawaii.

Matsuyama leads the field with a minimum of five rounds played at TPC Scottsdale with 2.87 strokes gained on the field per round. Recent putting issues are a concern, but he’s familiar with his surroundings in Arizona. He posted a T-16 at the Phoenix Open a year ago and could improve on that result in 2021.

Henrik Norlander +10000

Norlander came out of nowhere to get into the hunt during the final round of the Farmers Insurance Open, with birdies at No. 6 and 10 putting him within one shot of the leaders. Unfortunately for the Swede, he wasn’t able to gain any more traction as eventual winner Patrick Reed pulled away.

Still, a tie for second was a great result for Norlander, as he was the only man to play both weekend rounds in the 60s. Evidenced by his +10000, he is a long shot to repeat that success in Arizona, but there are far worse options out there at that price given his recent form.


Golf is unique for many reasons, but one of them is the significant number of betting props available at weekly tournaments. The Phoenix Open is no different.

Sportsbooks are offering odds on things like whether there will be a hole-in-one, OVER/UNDERs on the winning score for the eventual champion and odds on which players from specific countries will have the lowest score, to name a few.

Like other sports, betting on props is a fun and unique way to enhance your golf gambling experience.

Live Betting

Live Betting is arguably one of the most exciting ways to bet on golf. If the player you placed a pre-tournament bet on is out of the running at any point during the Phoenix Open, you can bet on another golfer as the days go by and have another stake in the game.

If there are only a few men in the hunt on the final day, the odds likely won’t be significantly high, but your chances of winning are. We’ve seen this happen multiple times in the PGA Tour’s Return to Golf, as multiple tournaments have gone to a playoff.

These helpful pages will assist you in handicapping your golf wagers:

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  • Betting News: All the golf betting news necessary to give you an edge when placing your bets on the PGA Tour.
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