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PGA Tour Expert Picks: WGC-Mexico Championship

Gary Woodland plays his shot from the fourth tee during the third round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 02, 2019 in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the first World Golf Championships event of the season, the WGC-Mexico Championship.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Jon Rahm +1600

Since turning professional in 2016, Rahm has emerged as one of the most talented golfers on the PGA Tour. At 24, he already has two wins in America and four worldwide. Quite simply, the Spaniard is a force who’s no stranger to topping both odds lists and leaderboards.

Rahm is beginning his third rotation of WGCs and already has a pair of podium finishes, including a T-3 at the 2017 WGC-Mexico Championship. He’s been in the hunt consistently of late evidenced by six straight top-10s worldwide in his last six starts. At +1600, he provides excellent value for golf bettors.

My second favorite pick: Gary Woodland +3300

Quietly, Woodland has emerged as one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour in the last year. The 34-year-old is a near lock to play into the weekend after making 19 consecutive cuts since last June – the best on the tour.

Woodland has come within striking distance many times thanks to six top-10s in 2018-19 and while he’s not the most exciting pick on the board, he could be a solid pre-tournament bet and DFS play in Mexico.

My third favorite pick: Webb Simpson +3300

Simpson has become a steady Eddie in pro golf for a reason: he rarely goes on cold streaks. The American heads to Mexico on the heels of six straight top-20s and figures to be in the mix in the deep field.

Simpson is making his second appearance at Club de Golf Chapultepec after posting an underwhelming T-37 in 2018, yet I expect him to improve upon that finish this time around. A shot on him at +3300 looks like a great option in my eyes.