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New York Eyes a Sixth Straight Home Win Over Boston

Brett Gardner #11 of the New York Yankees hits a two run eighth inning home run against the Boston Red Sox.

The New York Yankees are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against the Boston Red Sox with a 5-0 SU record in their last five home games against the Red Sox. New York will try to continue this dominance over Boston with another victory this Saturday night.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
  • Date/Time: August 1, 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • TV Coverage: FOX
  • Opening Odds: Yankees -169 | O/U 10 runs (Line History)
  • Red Sox vs Yankees Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

For the second straight night, bettors have driven the price on the Yankees down with action on the underdog Boston Red Sox. New York opened as a -208 favorite but is now going off at -169 while the Red Sox are +159 road underdogs.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Masahiro Tanaka will make his first start of the 2020 season on Saturday after taking a line drive to the head in a simulated game during training camp. The right-hander finished the 2019 campaign with an 11-9 record, a 4.45 ERA, and a 1.24 WHIP.

Zack Godley’s struggles as a starter last season in Arizona forced the Diamondbacks to move him Godley into the bullpen where he finished the season with a 6.39 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in 76 innings pitched. Godley looked good in long relief last Monday with seven strikeouts and no runs surrendered in four innings against the New York Mets which may have earned him the spot start in this one.

Boston Red Sox News & Notes

Another game, another disappointing performance on offense. Boston is averaging a pedestrian 3.43 runs per game over its last seven games since scoring 13 runs in its season debut against the Baltimore Orioles. Yes the offense was due to take a hit with the loss of Mookie Betts this offseason, but slow starts from key players including J.D Martinez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, and Andrew Benintendi are what is dragging the team down.

And to make matter worse for the Red Sox, they are allowing 5.86 runs per game over this current 2-5 SU skid. Staff ace Eduardo Rodriguez has developed myocarditis in connection to his bout with COVID-19, potentially putting his 2020 season in jeopardy.

New York News & Notes

Jordan Montgomery looked great in his return to the mound on Friday night, holding the Red Sox to just one run and needing only 81 pitches to get through 5.2 innings. A healthy Montgomery could really help the Yankees solidify their starting rotation behind Gerrit Cole and James Paxton with Luis Severino set to miss the season with an elbow injury.

The Yankees are averaging five runs and two runs per game through their first six games, taking over first place in the AL East with a 5-1 record. DJ LaMahieu picked up three hits in Friday’s 5-1 win over Boston and has started his 2020 campaign with hits in five straight games and a .455 batting average.

Betting Pick: New York -169

Masahiro Tanaka’s first start after his scary injury on the mound comes with some question marks. But regardless of how Tanaka pitches, New York’s edge on offense is likely to be too strong for Boston to overcome.

Shark Bites
  • Masahiro Tanaka is 8-5 with a 5.76 ERA in 21 career starts against Boston.
  • Boston is 2-6 in its last eight games against American League opponents.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.