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Can Nola Slow the Roll of the Best Road Team in Baseball?

As the best road team in baseball, the Astros enter Wednesday’s contest against the 34-64 Phillies as favorites in Philadelphia. A win this evening would give Houston the sweep and it would improve their record away from H-Town to 38-12.

  • The Astros are 7-2 SU and on the runline in their last 9 games when closing out a series.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Astros' last 6 games on the road.
  • The Astros have an average run differential of +2.9 in 49 road games this season.

Despite all those trends, the Astros will not be heavily favored on Wednesday and if Aaron Nola has anything to say about it, they may not score any runs. The third-year righty has been on an incredible stretch and he’s beginning to look like the ace he’s been touted as.

Nola (7-6, 3.38 ERA) has not allowed more than two runs in six straight starts and he’s struck out seven or more batters in each of those appearances. This will, however, be his first look against the Astros and he could be in for a serious wake-up call.

Houston has been absolutely mashing on the road, scoring 65 more runs away from home than the team with the second-most road runs. Mike Fiers, the Astros’ starter tonight, has been more than good enough to get results this season and his 5-1 record in hostile ballparks is evidence of that.

Tonight’s ball game should be a good one and if both pitchers are sharp, an UNDER seems likely for a Phillies team that’s scored just 186 runs in 46 home games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to pick the Philadelphia Phillies in this matchup found them as 111 underdogs on the MLB moneyline at BetOnline. Betting the OVER/UNDER instead? It was 8.5 at its open earlier today and hovering near that number at Bovada.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 6.2-4.2 victory for the Astros. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Philadelphia Phillies sport a record of 34-64 heading into this matchup, while the Houston Astros sit at 67-33 on the season. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Philadelphia vs Houston injuries news.

The MLB Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Philadelphia Phillies rated this week at No. 5 and the Houston Astros sitting at No. 1.

Statistical Matchup

Rating these teams in several key categories is important for handicappers and Philadelphia has baseball's No. 29-rated offensive output, at 8.35 hits per game. The Houston Astros average 10.23 hits per game, good for No. 1 on the list.

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Philadelphia has the No. 18-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Astros own the No. 5 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Charlie Morton silenced the Phillies bats in a 5-0 victory last time out versus Philadelphia at Citizens Bank Park.

Betting Trends
  • Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
  • Houston is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
  • Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 19 games
  • Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Philadelphia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Houston at Detroit, Friday, July 28
Philadelphia home to Atlanta, Friday, July 28