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Odds to Win 2020 AL and NL Cy Young Awards

Gerrit Cole and Jacob deGrom throwing pitches

It appears that the delay of the MLB season because of the COVID-19 pandemic may be coming to an end. A proposal has been made for spring training to resume in mid-June, with a shortened 82-game season to commence in early July.

How will a reduced schedule impact the pitchers? Could we get hurlers throwing deeper into games because innings restrictions could be lifted for young arms such as the Blue Jays’ Nate Pearson? And pitchers who typically tail off in the dog days may have a legit shot at winning a Cy Young this year.

Online sportsbook BetOnline has Jacob deGrom as the +350 favorite for the NL Cy Young Award followed by Walker Buehler at +600, Max Scherzer at +700, Jack Flaherty at +800 and Stephen Strasburg at +900 to round out the top five on the list.

BetOnline also has made Gerrit Cole the +250 favorite to claim the AL Cy Young Award followed by Justin Verlander at +500, Shane Bieber at +550, Lucas Giolito at +900 and Charlie Morton at +1400 to round out the top five pitchers on the oddsboard.

For more baseball betting information, check out our MLB Page.

AL and NL Cy Young Odds

With the delay of the start of the season, this helps out some pitchers who had been dealing with injuries in spring training, most notably Justin Verlander, the 2019 AL Cy Young winner who had been expected to miss Opening Day.

I have an analysis of the 2020 Cy Young futures below.

Here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the American League Cy Young:

Odds to win the AL Cy Young Award
Gerrit Cole+250
Justin Verlander+500
Shane Bieber+550
Lucas Giolito+900
Charlie Morton+1400
Jose Berrios+1400
Mike Clevinger+1400
Tyler Glasnow+1400
Blake Snell+1600
Corey Kluber+1800
Zack Greinke+1800
James Paxton+2000
Luis Severino+2000
Shohei Ohtani+3000
Frankie Montas+3300
Hyun-Jin Ryu+3300
Sean Manaea+3300
Carlos Carrasco+4000
Jake Odorizzi+4000
Lance Lynn+4000
Mike Minor+4000
Dallas Keuchel+5000
Eduardo Rodriguez+5000

Odds as of May 21 at BetOnline

Here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the National League Cy Young:

Odds to win the NL Cy Young Award
Jacob deGrom+350
Walker Buehler+600
Max Scherzer+700
Jack Flaherty+800
Stephen Strasburg+900
Yu Darvish+1000
Luis Castillo+1400
Patrick Corbin+1400
Noah Syndergaard+1800
Clayton Kershaw+2000
Trevor Bauer+2000
Zack Wheeler+2000
Aaron Nola+2500
Chris Paddack+2500
Brandon Woodruff+2800
Sonny Gray+2800
Kirby Yates+3300
Mike Soroka+3300
German Marquez+4000
Max Fried+4000
Zac Gallen+4000
Josh Hader+5000
Madison Bumgarner+5000
Marcus Stroman+5000
Johnny Cueto+6600
Jose Urias+6600
Mike Foltynewicz+6600

Odds as of May 21 at BetOnline

Why Is Cole The AL Cy Young Favorite?

Last season was the best of Gerrit Cole’s seven-year career, with the 29-year-old posting a 20-5 record, a 2.50 ERA and a ridiculous 326 strikeouts in 212.1 innings. He ended up finishing second in Cy Young voting, collecting 13 first-place votes, just four shy of the winner and his then-teammate Justin Verlander.

Now with the World Series favorite New York Yankees, who also have the highest projected win total, if Cole has a repeat performance of last year, there’s no way he doesn’t win in 2020.

Who Is Providing Better Value Than Cole?

It will be tough to knock off Cole this season, but at +1800 you have to take a look at two-time AL Cy Young winner Corey Kluber. The 33-year-old missed the majority of last season after suffering a broken arm in May. Kluber was traded to the Rangers in the offseason and the delayed start to the season allows him to rehab even more.

The former Cleveland ace made two spring training starts, tossing seven innings and striking out six while allowing three earned runs. Prior to his injury-plagued season last year, he had finished with 18 or more wins in three straight seasons, sporting an ERA in the high 2s or low 3s and striking out more than 220 batters.

If he can have a healthy campaign, there’s no doubt in my mind he will be in the Cy Young conversation come September.

Why is Jacob deGrom the NL Cy Young Favorite?

Well, to start, deGrom has won the last two NL Cy Young Awards, and nearly did it unanimously last year, collecting 29 of the 30 first-place votes. He’s accomplished that despite having a 21-17 record over the past two seasons, a reflection of the poor run support New York’s lineup has afforded him.

He had a 1.70 ERA in 2018 and a 2.43 mark in 2019, when he also led the NL with 255 strikeouts in 204 innings. The Mets have the potential to take the NL East and if they do, deGrom very well could pull off the three-peat.

Who Is Providing Better Value Than deGrom?

The NL is so deep in starting pitching with the likes of Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg and Clayton Kershaw. Picking the NL Cy Young winner in the preseason is like throwing a dart at a dartboard. That said, outside of deGrom, there is one young arm that I think is providing much more value and that is Mike Soroka (+3300).

Soroka burst onto the scene for the Atlanta Braves in 2019, becoming an all-star and finishing second in Rookie of the Year voting to Pete Alonso and sixth in Cy Young voting. The Canadian put together a 13-4 record with a 2.68 ERA and struck out 142 batters over 174.2 innings.

The last stat could use some improvement to put him up in the Cy Young conversation. If he can bring that average closer to a K per inning, this young man could be rewarded with some hardware at the end of the year.