Inclement weather and offensive struggles have kept the New York Mets from scoring a run since Thursday – but they’re optimistic their fortunes will change in Tuesday’s doubleheader opener against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets (2-3 SU, 3-2 O/U) average just 3.2 runs per game but are expected to do more in matinee action vs the rival Phillies (6-3 SU, 6-3 O/U).
- Date/Time: April 13, 4:10 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Citi Field
- TV Coverage: ESPN, NBCSP+, SNY
- Sportsbook Odds: Phillies -118 | O/U 7.5 (Line History)
- Phillies vs Mets Matchup Report
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
The Phillies opened as -118 favorites, but the odds have since flipped to the Mets -130 to -135 in most spots. The total of 7.5 has shifted down to 6.5 with the game slated for seven innings.
Starting Pitchers Analysis
Phillies right-hander Chase Anderson (0-1, 3.60 ERA) kept the Mets at bay in his first start of the season, limiting them to a pair of runs on just two hits over five solid innings. Oddsmakers aren’t sold on a repeat performance, given that Anderson is coming off a dreadful 2020 season in which he posted a 7.22 ERA and 1.63 WHIP and allowed 11 home runs in just 33.2 innings.
Mets counterpart Taijuan Walker (0-0, 3.00 ERA) also has a strong start under his belt already, limiting the Miami Marlins to two runs over six innings but ultimately getting a no-decision in a 3-2 Mets victory. Walker has surrendered 11 hits in 43 at-bats to members of the Phillies roster, but none of them have taken him deep.
Philadelphia News & Notes
The Phillies pitching staff was the talk of the Sportsbook week of the season, limiting teams to six total runs over their first four games.
But the good times have come to a crashing halt, with Philadelphia having allowed an average of 5.8 runs in its last five outings. That has made the Phillies one of the best OVER plays in baseball but has done little to instill betting confidence.
New York News & Notes
The Mets’ heavy hitters haven’t been doing much hitting at all – and while it’s still early, New York can’t afford to have a prolonged stretch of dismal offensive performances.
The team’s primary 2-3-4 hitters – Francisco Lindor, Michael Conforto and Pete Alonso – are batting a combined 10-for-57 (.175) with just one home run and seven RBIs through the first five games.
Betting Pick: New York (-135)
The Mets have an edge on the mound and are in a good position to break out of their offensive slump against a Philadelphia pitching staff that has shown cracks in recent days.
- Philadelphia has won 10 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings.
- The UNDER is 5-1 in New York’s last 6 home games.
- The OVER is 6-0 in Philadelphia’s last 6 games.
