Shohei Ohtani is a baseball unicorn. If you’ve followed baseball over the past few years, you’ve most definitely heard his name. But witnessing his play on the field is a different experience.
Ohtani has already earned Rookie of the Year honors, an AL MVP award, two all-star berths and a Silver Slugger. He’s chasing that elusive AL Cy Young Award, though perhaps his pitching game might get some more respect after he diced up Angels teammate Mike Trout at the World Baseball Classic to give Japan the win.
Let’s dive into some of the Ohtani odds and props available for this season.
Shohei Ohtani Odds: To Win Regular-Season AL MVP
Option | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +190 |
No | -260 |
Odds as of March 30
I’m betting NO on Ohtani to win MVP at this current value. -260 is crazy good odds for a Yes/No prop, so I’d jump on that for now. These odds will shift dramatically as the season goes on, so stay tuned.
Shohei Ohtani Odds: To Win AL Cy Young
Option | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1200 |
No | -6600 |
Odds as of March 30
I don’t hate a flier on Ohtani to win at +1200.
Shohei Ohtani Odds: To Win BOTH Cy Young & MVP?
Option | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1600 |
No | -15000 |
Odds as of March 30
Crazier things have happened.
Shohei Ohtani Odds: Total Regular-Season Home Runs
Option | Odds |
---|---|
OVER 34.5 | -115 |
UNDER 34.5 | -115 |
Odds as of March 30
This is a tricky one. He swatted 34 homers in 2022 and 46 in 2021 (his AL MVP season), but Ohtani’s slugging percentage dipped significantly in 2022. My gut tells me his power numbers will bounce back in 2023, so take the OVER 34.5.
Shohei Ohtani Odds: Total Regular-Season Stolen Bases
Option | Odds |
---|---|
OVER 20.5 | -115 |
UNDER 20.5 | -115 |
Odds as of March 30
Ohtani is a fast runner, but he’s not necessarily a great base stealer. He swiped 26 bags in 2021 but also got caught stealing an MLB-leading 10 times. In 2022, he was just 11-for-20 on stolen-base attempts. Not good. Bigger bases will factor in slightly, but not enough to deter me from betting the UNDER 20.5.
Shohei Ohtani Odds: Next Contract Value
Option | Odds |
---|---|
OVER $499.5 Million | -140 |
UNDER $499.5 Million | +145 |
Odds as of March 24
Ohtani is in the final year of his contract with the Angels, so you can imagine the ongoing mass speculation in the baseball world. A player with his skill set hasn’t ever really hit the open market, and with MLB teams splurging in free agency lately, a gargantuan contract is likely in the Japanese star’s future.
.@Buster_ESPN says Shohei Ohtani's potential new contract could be $600M+ 🤯
— Get Up (@GetUpESPN) March 22, 2023
"There's nobody else in baseball that can do what he can do. ... He's going to have ENORMOUS bidding for the best player in the world." pic.twitter.com/Z3q1wrhfAY
The latest chatter, per ESPN’s Buster Olney, is that Ohtani could receive over $600 million for his services. What a mind-boggling number. It looks quite obvious that Ohtani’s deal will outclass the 12-year, $426.5-million extension Trout signed with the Angels in 2019. The Trout deal stands as the richest in MLB history, but Ohtani is a lock to exceed that.
All to say, if you’re wagering on the value of Ohtani’s next deal, take the OVER $499.5 million at -140. That’s the easiest money you’ll ever make.
Shohei Ohtani Odds: Next Team
Option | Odds |
---|---|
New York Mets | +300 |
Chicago Cubs | +500 |
New York Yankees | +600 |
San Diego Padres | +600 |
Los Angeles Dodgers | +600 |
Atlanta Braves | +1000 |
St. Louis Cardinals | +1200 |
Toronto Blue Jays | +2000 |
Houston Astros | +2000 |
Philadelphia Phillies | +2000 |
San Francisco Giants | +2000 |
Seattle Mariners | +2500 |
Cleveland Guardians | +2500 |
Chicago White Sox | +3300 |
Texas Rangers | +3300 |
Boston Red Sox | +3300 |
Milwaukee Brewers | +3300 |
Miami Marlins | +3300 |
Odds as of March 24
We already discussed this a bit in our 2024 free-agency predictions, but I think Ohtani’s next club will be the Dodgers. Los Angeles has been the king of regular-season win totals over the last few years, but apart from the 2020 World Series team, the Dodgers have lacked some playoff punch. I’ll get even saucier and predict the Dodgers trade for Ohtani at this year’s trade deadline when the Angels inevitably sell. So, at +600, I’d sprinkle some cash on L.A.
The Giants have tumbled down the oddsboard here, but I don’t hate a tiny wager on San Fran. The G-Men won’t trade for Ohtani midseason, but assuming he sticks with the Angels for all of 2023, then San Francisco could be a sneaky option. The club is unafraid to toss cash around, having nearly signed both Carlos Correa and Aaron Judge, so crazier things have happened. +2000 isn’t too shabby.