Our Shohei Ohtani odds predict his next team and the value of his next contract

Shohei Ohtani Odds: Dodgers A Good Bet For Next Team

Shohei Ohtani is a baseball unicorn. If you’ve followed baseball over the past few years, you’ve most definitely heard his name. But witnessing his play on the field is a different experience.

Ohtani has already earned Rookie of the Year honors, an AL MVP award, two all-star berths and a Silver Slugger. He’s chasing that elusive AL Cy Young Award, though perhaps his pitching game might get some more respect after he diced up Angels teammate Mike Trout at the World Baseball Classic to give Japan the win.

Let’s dive into some of the Ohtani odds and props available for this season.

Shohei Ohtani Odds: To Win Regular-Season AL MVP

Will Ohtani Win AL MVP?

Odds as of March 30

I’m betting NO on Ohtani to win MVP at this current value. -260 is crazy good odds for a Yes/No prop, so I’d jump on that for now. These odds will shift dramatically as the season goes on, so stay tuned.  

Shohei Ohtani Odds: To Win AL Cy Young

Will Ohtani win AL Cy Young?

Odds as of March 30

I don’t hate a flier on Ohtani to win at +1200. 

Shohei Ohtani Odds: To Win BOTH Cy Young & MVP?

Will Ohtani win Both AL MVP & AL Cy Young?

Odds as of March 30

Crazier things have happened. 

Shohei Ohtani Odds: Total Regular-Season Home Runs

How Many Home Runs will Ohtani Hit in 2023?
OVER 34.5-115
UNDER 34.5-115

Odds as of March 30

This is a tricky one. He swatted 34 homers in 2022 and 46 in 2021 (his AL MVP season), but Ohtani’s slugging percentage dipped significantly in 2022. My gut tells me his power numbers will bounce back in 2023, so take the OVER 34.5. 

Shohei Ohtani Odds: Total Regular-Season Stolen Bases

How many bases will Ohtani steal in 2023?
OVER 20.5-115
UNDER 20.5-115

Odds as of March 30

Ohtani is a fast runner, but he’s not necessarily a great base stealer. He swiped 26 bags in 2021 but also got caught stealing an MLB-leading 10 times. In 2022, he was just 11-for-20 on stolen-base attempts. Not good. Bigger bases will factor in slightly, but not enough to deter me from betting the UNDER 20.5. 

Shohei Ohtani Odds: Next Contract Value

How Much Will Ohtani’s Next Contract Be Worth?
OVER $499.5 Million-140
UNDER $499.5 Million+145

Odds as of March 24

Ohtani is in the final year of his contract with the Angels, so you can imagine the ongoing mass speculation in the baseball world. A player with his skill set hasn’t ever really hit the open market, and with MLB teams splurging in free agency lately, a gargantuan contract is likely in the Japanese star’s future. 

The latest chatter, per ESPN’s Buster Olney, is that Ohtani could receive over $600 million for his services. What a mind-boggling number. It looks quite obvious that Ohtani’s deal will outclass the 12-year, $426.5-million extension Trout signed with the Angels in 2019. The Trout deal stands as the richest in MLB history, but Ohtani is a lock to exceed that.

All to say, if you’re wagering on the value of Ohtani’s next deal, take the OVER $499.5 million at -140. That’s the easiest money you’ll ever make. 

Shohei Ohtani Odds: Next Team

Where will Ohtani Play Next?
New York Mets+300
Chicago Cubs+500
New York Yankees+600
San Diego Padres+600
Los Angeles Dodgers+600
Atlanta Braves+1000
St. Louis Cardinals+1200
Toronto Blue Jays+2000
Houston Astros+2000
Philadelphia Phillies+2000
San Francisco Giants+2000
Seattle Mariners+2500
Cleveland Guardians+2500
Chicago White Sox+3300
Texas Rangers+3300
Boston Red Sox+3300
Milwaukee Brewers+3300
Miami Marlins+3300

Odds as of March 24

We already discussed this a bit in our 2024 free-agency predictions, but I think Ohtani’s next club will be the Dodgers. Los Angeles has been the king of regular-season win totals over the last few years, but apart from the 2020 World Series team, the Dodgers have lacked some playoff punch. I’ll get even saucier and predict the Dodgers trade for Ohtani at this year’s trade deadline when the Angels inevitably sell. So, at +600, I’d sprinkle some cash on L.A.

The Giants have tumbled down the oddsboard here, but I don’t hate a tiny wager on San Fran. The G-Men won’t trade for Ohtani midseason, but assuming he sticks with the Angels for all of 2023, then San Francisco could be a sneaky option. The club is unafraid to toss cash around, having nearly signed both Carlos Correa and Aaron Judge, so crazier things have happened. +2000 isn’t too shabby.