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NBA Playoff Betting: Heat vs. Celtics

With a win at TD Garden on Saturday the Boston Celtics extended their home winning streak versus the Miami Heat to 11 games. Can they keep that streak going Monday night and tie the series 2-2?

The Celtics were a 3-point favorite in Game 3 and covered the spread in a 97-81 win. Kevin Garnett led the Celtics with 28 points and 18 rebounds, while Dwyane Wade had 23 points, six rebounds and seven assists for the Heat.

View Miami vs Boston Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Celtics are listed as 1.5-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark, with the total listed at 181.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Celtics sit at No. 12 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Heat are at No. 3 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Heat will win this game 104-101.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Boston's No. 23-ranked offense, averaging 96.5 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 6 at 94.6 PPG. The Celtics field goal percentage has averaged 48.6% so far, more than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 48.1% per game.

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 3-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.2 points per game. Boston, meanwhile, comes in at No. 20 in the league in scoring at home.

The Heat were a 97-81 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Celtics. They failed to cover the 3–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (178) made winners of UNDER bettors. Miami got 23 points from Dwyane Wade but lost anyway 97-81 against the Celtics on Saturday at TD Garden.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Boston are 6-4
After playing Boston are 6-4
After a loss are 6-4

Boston Celtics Trends:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Miami are 5-5
After playing Miami are 5-5
After a win are 5-5


A few Heat at Celtics trends to consider:
Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Boston, Wednesday, May 11
Boston at Miami, Wednesday, May 11

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