Pascal Siakam

NBA Expert Picks For Valentine's Day: Pacers To Cover In Siakam's Return To Toronto

Here are three spread, moneyline, and OVER/UNDER bets to love (on Valentine's Day, of course) for the slate of NBA games taking place on Wednesday, February 14, 2024:

Jump To Picks:

Recent Picks: February 12, 2024 (2-1)

Game BetResultW or LUnits
Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee BucksNuggets ATS +1112-95 BucksL-1
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Clippers Timberwolves ML121-100 TimberwolvesW1.48
Chicago Bulls vs. Atlanta HawksOVER 238 Total Points262 Total PointsW0.92
Overall 2-1 1.4

Season Picks: Since January 8, 2024

MarketRecordUnits
Moneyline6-9-3.4
Spread8-9-1.44
OVER/UNDER10-63.01
Overall24-24-1.83

Indiana Pacers Vs. Toronto Raptors

The Game: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors, 7:30 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Indiana Pacers-4 (-110)-178O 244.5 (-112)
Toronto Raptors+4 (-110)+150U 244.5 (-108)

Pick: Indiana Pacers -4 

It will be an emotional night at Scotiabank Arena as Pascal Siakam plays his first game in Toronto since being traded to the Indiana Pacers on Jan. 17.

The feel-good energy for the Raptors side they honor a player who accomplished a great deal with the franchise over eight seasons, including helping win a championship in 2019, will likely end there.

Indiana has covered four of the last six times against a Toronto squad that's just 4-14 SU after winning three of four to kick off the new year. The Raptors beat the Pacers by one on Nov. 22, sure, but the roster has undergone a complete transformation and is in a downward spiral trying to conjure up a new identity.

Los Angeles Clippers Vs. Golden State Warriors

The Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors, 10 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Los Angeles Clippers+3 (-108)+130O 234.5 (-108)
Golden State Warriors-3 (-112)-154U 234.5 (-112)

Pick: Golden State Warriors ML

Oddsmakers are evidently weary of the Los Angeles Clippers following a pair of double-digit losses to the New Orleans Pelicans and Minnesota Timberwolves in two of their last three games. 

This is the worst stretch in quite some time for the Clippers, but one that likely won't last. Los Angeles is already 2-1 this season against the Golden State Warriors after taking the last two meetings. 

The key here, outside of the Warriors being on a hot streak having won five in a row and seven of their last eight, is that the Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard as he sits with a left abductor strain. Los Angeles will bounce back, but not while missing its best player when playing against Golden State. 

Atlanta Hawks Vs. Charlotte Hornets

The Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets, 7 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Atlanta Hawks-7 (-106)-255O 238 (-110)
Charlotte Hornets+7 (-114)+210U 238 (-110)

Pick: OVER 238 Total Points

We're riding the Atlanta Hawks in the OVER/UNDER market until the wheels fall off, having won three consecutive picks in this department.

The Hawks possess the league's best offense in the month of February at 123.3 points per 100 possessions, but the third-worst defense allowing the exact same amount as they score. This hasn't equated a great deal of success in the win-loss column (4-3 SU), but for total bets, with it having gone OVER in eight of Atlanta's last 11 outings, it's easy money.

The Charlotte Hornets' offense also got a shot in the arm with the recent acquisitions of Grant Williams, Seth Curry, Davis Bertans, and Tre Mann. The total on Oct. 25 reached 226 points, and that number should be surpassed quite easily in the rematch on Wednesday.

Back to Top