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NBA odds preview - Kings vs. Heat

Sacramento KingsMiami Heat
Feb 22, 7:30 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Odds

13-40TEAM RECORD41-15

Bettors will be looking to hit pay dirt on Tuesday when the Heat try to run the Kings off the court at AmericanAirlines Arena in pro hoops action.

Miami battles the Kings, currently with a 13-40 mark (22-30-1 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals bettors, are 30-25-1 for the Heat and 27-26 for the Kings.

View Sacramento vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Heat, currently No. 1 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Kings, who rate No. 25 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 107-94 victory for the Heat.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 10-ranked offense, averaging 101.9 PPG, against a Kings defense that ranks No. 21 at 102.9 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 47.4% so far, more than the Kings shooters have achieved on the year, 44.3% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Kings own the league's No. 24-rated mark, allowing 106.8 points per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 10 in home scoring.

Sacramento lost its last outing, a 116-100 result against the Mavericks on February 16. The Kings failed to cover in that game as a 11-point underdog, while the 216 combined points took the game OVER the total. Jermaine Taylor scored 17 points in a failed effort to lead the Kings to victory (they lost 116-100 to Dallas at American Airlines Center on Wednesday).

The Heat were a 103-95 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Raptors. They failed to cover the 9–point spread as favorites, while the total score (198) made winners of UNDER bettors. Dwyane Wade went off for 28 points and added 7 rebounds leading Miami over Toronto, 103-95, on Wednesday at Air Canada Centre.

Sacramento Kings Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 2-8
Before playing Orlando are 4-6
After playing Dallas are 0-10
After a loss are 3-7

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Chicago are 4-6
After playing Toronto are 8-2
After a win are 8-2

A few Kings at Heat trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Next up:
Sacramento at Orlando, Wednesday, February 23
Miami at Chicago, Thursday, February 24