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Pointspread favors Heat in battle with Timberwolves

Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Dec 18, 7:30 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Odds

12-10TEAM RECORD15-6

Bettors will be looking to hit pay dirt on Tuesday when the Heat try to run the Timberwolves off the court at AmericanAirlines Arena in pro hoops action.

(Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). The Heat are 15-6 so far on the season, and 10-11 ATS vs. the number. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are 12-10 and 13-9 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Miami go 11-10 and the Timberwolves go 13-9 on the totals.

View Minnesota vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Miami opened as 10-point favorites at online sportsbook BetOnline, while the NBA total was sitting around 196.5 at Sportsbook.ag for those who prefer OVER/UNDER betting.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new Power Rankings at Odds Shark, it's the No. 12-rated Heat and the No. 10-rated Timberwolves in this matchup. Predictive computer formulas point to a 103-99 win for the Heat on Tuesday.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 4-ranked offense (103.1 PPG) against a Timberwolves defense that ranks No. 6 at 94 PPG. The Heat have averaged 49.6% from the field per game, more than the Timberwolves have managed so far this season (43.3% on average).

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Timberwolves own the league's No. 10-rated mark, allowing 96.2 points per game when playing on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 2 in scoring on their home court.

Last time out for Minnesota, they were a 102-93 loser as they battled the Magic on the road. The Timberwolves failed to cover in the match as a 3.5-point favorite, while 195 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Kevin Love poured in 23 points and chipped in with 15 rebounds in a losing cause for Minnesota on Monday, as the Magic rolled to a 102-93 victory over Minnesota at Amway Center.

The Heat were a 102-72 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Wizards. They covered the 15.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (174) made winners of UNDER bettors. The battle between the Heat and Wizards didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Washington was handed a 102-72 defeat on Saturday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Minnesota Timberwolves Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Oklahoma City are 1-9
After playing Orlando are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Dallas are 6-4
After playing Washington are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

A few Timberwolves at Heat trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Miami is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

Next up:
Minnesota home to Oklahoma City, Thursday, December 20
Miami at Dallas, Thursday, December 20