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Notre Dame Covers Against Teams With Winning Records

The Fighting Irish are having a rough season and in Week 11 will play their second game in a row against an armed forces team after dropping a close contest to Navy at EverBank Field. Army, this week’s opponent, has not beaten Notre Dame since 1958 – a stretch of 14 games.  These two Independent teams will meet at the Alamodome on Saturday for the 41st matchup in their history.

  • Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home against teams with winning records.
  • Army is 1-11 SU and ATS in its last 12 games on the road against teams with losing records.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Army's last 11 games.

Army currently sits atop the Independent Conference with a record of 5-4 and they’ve gotten there on the back of their defense that has given up the seventh-fewest yards in the nation and has allowed the opposition to score just 18.1 points per game. Notre Dame gives up significantly more points per game and with neither team having the edge on the offensive side of the football, this one could come down to Army’s advantage on defense.

An interesting trend is that Notre Dame has been the favorite in all but one of its games so far and has covered in every game it’s won. The Fighting Irish, however, have won just three games, meaning they don’t cover very often.

This line opened with Notre Dame laying 11.5 points which should be a good sign for Irish backers. Notre Dame has won and covered two of three games they’ve played this season when they’ve been favorites of 11.5 or more points.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans going with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in this game found them listed as -11.5-point favorites on the betting odds menu at 5Dimes earlier in the week.

A 28-27 result in favor of the Black Knights is the prediction by the Odds Shark handicapping pick engine. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Army Black Knights vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 3-6 overall and 3-6 ATS against the spread, while the Black Knights are 5-4 and 5-4 ATS. As for the totals, Notre Dame is 4-5 on the OU, and Army is 3-6 Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Notre Dame vs Army injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at No. 50 and the Army Black Knights at No. 51 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Notre Dame's No. 58-ranked offense, averaging 30.25 PPG, against a Army defense that ranks No. 9 this week at 16.5 PPG. The Notre Dame aerial game is averaging 263.75 yards per game, more than the Army Black Knights secondary allows through the air, 163 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Army Black Knights own the league's No. 0-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 108.2 yards per game when on the road. Notre Dame, on the other hand, rates No. 0 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Black Knights were Week 10 losers coming out on the wrong end of 31-12 score against Air Force.

In their last gridiron battle, Torii Hunter Jr. did much of the damage, producing 104 receiving yards but Navy managed to defeat the Fighting Irish 28-27 at EverBank Field.

Betting Trends
  • Army is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Army is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Army's last 11 games
  • Notre Dame is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Notre Dame is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games

Next Betting Matchups

Army home to Morgan State, Saturday, November 19th
Notre Dame home to Virginia Tech, Saturday, November 19th