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Betting line favors Wolfpack over Cavaliers

Virginia CavaliersNorth Carolina State Wolfpack
Nov 3, 12:30 PM | Grass of Carter-Finley Stadium

Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Odds


Virginia visits North Carolina State on Saturday, hoping to send the Wolfpack to a loss while also covering the spread in NCAAF action at Carter-Finley Stadium.

The Wolfpack sit at 5-3 (2-5-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Cavaliers are currently 2-6 (0-7-1 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? North Carolina State is 3-4 OU, and Virginia is 4-3 OU.

View Virginia vs North Carolina State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the Cavaliers listed as 14-point underdogs earlier this week at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line was unavaiilable earlier in the week.

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 89 (Wolfpack) and the No. 67 (Cavaliers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 31-16 result in favor of the Wolfpack is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up North Carolina State's No. 66-ranked offense (27.9 PPG) against a Cavaliers defense that ranks No. 90 at 30.9 PPG. The Wolfpack passing attack has averaged 306.9 yards per game, more than the Cavaliers give up through the air (208.6 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Cavaliers feature the league's No. 114-rated road run defense, allowing 258.7 yards per game. North Carolina State, meanwhile, ranks No. 88 in rushing offense at home.

Virginia was a 16-10 loser in their most recent outing at home against Wake Forest. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (26) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Cavaliers suffered a Week 8 loss against Wake Forest in their last game, falling 16-10 at Scott Stadium.

In their last action, North Carolina State was a 43-35 loser on the road against North Carolina. They failed to cover the 7.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (78) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In North Carolina State's last outing, Mike Glennon threw for 467 yards in a losing cause against the Tar Heels, 43-35 at Kenan Stadium.

Virginia Cavaliers Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 4-6

North Carolina State Wolfpack Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Cavaliers at Wolfpack trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games
Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State
Virginia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State
Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
North Carolina State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia
North Carolina State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
North Carolina State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Virginia

Next up:
Virginia home to Miami, Saturday, November 10
North Carolina State home to Wake Forest, Saturday, November 10