The 2022-23 college football bowl season is underway and so far the games have not disappointed. The bowl matchups kicked off on Friday, December 16, under the tropical rays in Nassau, Bahamas, and the season will wrap up with the College Football Playoff National Championship game on Monday, January 9, at the NFL’s SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.
The combatants in the title game will be determined by the CFP semifinal games, with the Peach Bowl pitting the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs against the No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes and the Fiesta Bowl featuring the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines and No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs.
Ohio State is making its 56th bowl appearance and is 2-3 ATS in its past five bowl games, according to the college football bowl games betting trends below. TCU, the first program from the state of Texas to clinch a CFP spot, is 3-2 ATS in its last five and won its last two bowl appearances, in 2017 and 2018.
Before placing your bets, it’s important to note every factor that comes into play that could tilt the scoreboard. Keep reading to check out the rest of the college football bowl games betting trends, courtesy of our College Football Database.
Bowl Betting Trends
- In every bowl game except the Pinstripe Bowl and the Cure Bowl, the favorites win 50 percent or more of the time. In 25 of 38 bowl games, the underdogs have covered 50 percent or more in the past 10 seasons.
- 21 listed bowl games have hit the OVER on more than 49 percent of occasions. However, 15 of those same matchups see the OVER under 60 percent of the time. The highest percentage is the Military Bowl, hammering the scoreboard 83.3 percent of the time since 2008.
- In all but eight bowl games (Sugar Bowl, Fiesta Bowl, Outback Bowl, Mayo Bowl, Holiday Bowl, Military Bowl, Hawaii Bowl, Bahamas Bowl), the favorites have a winning spread record when the line is set at 10 points or more over the last 10 seasons. The Sugar Bowl is the most notable exception with favorites carrying the worst record (0-3) when favored by 10 or more points.
College Football National Championship Game Betting Trends
- Since 2006, the favorites heading into the championship game carry an 11-5 SU record, winning 68.8 percent of the time.
- In the last 10 championship matchups, the OVER has hit seven times.
- SEC programs have come out victorious in the championship game in four of the last five seasons.
2022 Bowl Betting Trends
Bahamas Bowl
Miami (OH) vs UAB
Six of the past eight Bahamas Bowls have seen the favorite come out on top, claiming victory 75 percent of the time.
In the same time frame, the underdogs are 5-3 ATS, covering 62.5 percent of the time.
Miami has covered the spread in five straight bowl appearances.
UAB has won two consecutive bowl games and gone 1-1 ATS.
Cure Bowl
UTSA vs Troy
Cure Bowl underdogs have gone 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS in the past eight seasons.
UTSA is winless in four bowl game matchups in school history.
In its nine bowl games, Troy has hit the UNDER just once (2022) and is on a five-game bowl winning streak.
Fenway Bowl
Cincinnati vs Louisville
The UNDER is 7-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight bowl appearances.
Likewise, Louisville is 2-6 O/U in its last eight.
Las Vegas Bowl
Florida vs Oregon State
Since 1995, the favorites are 22-4 SU, including 8-2 SU over the past 10 seasons.
Florida is 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in its last four bowl games.
The UNDER has hit in three consecutive bowl games for Oregon State.
LA Bowl
Washington State vs Fresno State
Washington State has appeared in a bowl game every year since 2015, going 2-5 ATS.
Fresno State halted a six-game bowl losing streak in 2014. Since then, it has won all four matchups that followed.
LendingTree Bowl
Rice vs Southern Miss
The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 LendingTree Bowl contests.
Rice has earned over 30 points in half of its six bowl performances, leading to a 3-3 O/U record.
Southern Miss is 3-2 SU and ATS in its last five bowl matchups.
New Mexico Bowl
SMU vs BYU
SMU is 0-3 SU and ATS in its last three bowl games.
The OVER is 1-6 in SMU’s seven bowl appearances.
Since 2005, BYU has been awarded a bowl game every year except 2017, going 9-8 ATS in that span.
Underdogs are 11-6 ATS all-time in the New Mexico Bowl, covering 64.7 percent of the time.
Frisco Bowl
North Texas vs Boise State
North Texas is 1-8 SU in its last nine bowl games and is currently on a six-year losing skid.
In its five-year existence, the Frisco Bowl has seen the favorites win outright 60 percent of the time but the underdogs have covered the line 60 percent of the time, too.
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Marshall vs UConn
The favorites are 3-0 SU and ATS since the Myrtle Beach Bowl’s inaugural year in 2020.
Marshall is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 bowl games, going on a three-year skid between 2019 and 2021.
UConn is 0-3 SU and ATS in its past three bowl games. The Huskies finished off the regular season 7-1 ATS.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Eastern Michigan vs San Jose State
Dating back to 1997, the underdogs have covered over 50 percent of the time, including going 6-4 ATS in the last 10 Potato Bowl showcases.
Eastern Michigan, despite being 1-4 SU, is 4-1 ATS all-time. It has never been favored ahead of a bowl game.
Sportsbook
Boca Raton Bowl
Liberty vs Toledo
Liberty’s first bowl game was in 2019. It has been featured in the postseason every year since and has gone 4-0 ATS.
Toledo is 0-5 ATS in bowl games since 2016, with the highest line being the 10.5 points it was favored by in 2021.
New Orleans Bowl
Western Kentucky vs South Alabama
Since 2001, favorites and underdogs share an 11-11 ATS record.
South Alabama, over the course of three bowl appearances in program history, has failed to win or cover the spread once.
Despite the lack of success, the OVER is 3-0 in South Alabama’s bowl appearances with each total set at 54 points or higher. South Alabama has yet to score more than 30 points in a bowl game but has given 33 or more to its three opponents.
Armed Forces Bowl
Baylor vs Air Force
Air Force finished 2022 allowing 13.1 PPG, the fewest in the nation. However, the OVER is 5-1 in its last six bowl games.
Air Force is riding a four-year hot streak, winning and covering the spread in its past four bowl games.
In the last 10 Armed Forces Bowls, the OVER is 7-3.
Independence Bowl
Louisiana vs Houston
In the last 10 seasons, favorites and underdogs have gone 5-5 SU, with the underdogs a superior 6-4 ATS.
Houston has won and covered the spread in two straight years when featured in a bowl matchup.
Gasparilla Bowl
Wake Forest vs Missouri
Favorites have dominated over the past 10 seasons, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS.
Favorites of 10 points or more are 4-0 SU and ATS all-time and 3-0 over the last decade.
Since 2011, the total has gone OVER in all of Missouri’s bowl game victories and UNDER in each of its losses.
Hawaii Bowl
Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State
Since 2001, 10-point favorites have struggled under the sun, going 1-5 ATS mark.
Middle Tennessee has scored 30 or more points in four of its last six bowl games. The OVER has hit in each of those six contests.
Since 2015, San Diego State has had a pattern of winning and covering two bowl games and then losing the following two years. If the trend continues, it will lose and fail to cover next season.
Quick Lane Bowl
New Mexico State vs Bowling Green
Over the past eight Quick Lane Bowls, it is pretty even across the board. Favorites are 4-4 SU and the OVER has hit 50 percent of the time.
New Mexico State has only played in two bowl games, its first being in 2017. The team has won and covered as an underdog both times. The UNDER has also hit in both.
Bowling Green, despite its name, doesn’t have much bowl luck, having won and covered just once since 2008 (2014).
Camellia Bowl
Georgia Southern vs Buffalo
Since 2014, the underdog has gone 6-3 ATS in the Camellia Bowl.
With six bowl games under its belt, Georgia Southern has gone UNDER in four straight bowl appearances starting in 2018.
Since 2009, Buffalo has had a trend of hitting the OVER each time it loses and fails to cover the spread. On the other hand, the total has gone UNDER when it wins and covers the spread.
First Responder Bowl
Memphis vs Utah State
Underdogs have not won any of the 12 First Responder Bowl games. The favorites carry a 8-3-1 ATS record.
Memphis has held opponents to just 10 points in back-to-back bowl appearances.
Over its past five bowl games, Utah State has alternated wins and losses. If the pattern continues, it should be expected to win and cover the spread next season.
Sportsbook
Birmingham Bowl
Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina
Over the last 10 seasons, favorites are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the Birmingham Bowl.
Since 2006, the OVER is 5-10-1, hitting a lowly 33.3 percent of the time.
Coastal Carolina has gone 0-3 ATS in its three bowl game appearances, the first coming in 2020. The OVER has gone 3-0 in those three games.
Guaranteed Rate Bowl
Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State
In 27 Guaranteed Rate Bowl matchups, favorites are 20-7 SU (74.1%). In the last 10, the OVER has hit only twice.
Wisconsin is 8-1 in its past nine bowl games since 2015.
In its last 10 bowl games, Oklahoma State is 7-3 ATS.
Military Bowl
UCF vs Duke
The trends point to high-scoring finishes benefiting the favorites. In the last 10 Military Bowls, the OVER is 8-2 and favorites are 8-2 SU.
UCF has alternated wins and losses in its last seven bowl performances. If the pattern keeps up, UCF should win and cover the spread next season.
Duke has put up 30 or more points in all seven of its bowl appearances and it has covered in six straight.
Liberty Bowl
Kansas vs Arkansas
Kansas is playing in its first bowl game since 2008.
Arkansas has been favored in five of its last six bowl games and has gone 5-1 SU and ATS.
Holiday Bowl
Oregon vs North Carolina
In the last 10 Holiday Bowls, underdogs have gone 7-3 ATS.
There have been two favorites of 10 or more points over the last 10 seasons, with neither being able to cover the double-digit line.
Oregon has failed to cover the spread in its last three bowl games.
North Carolina has lost a bowl matchup in three straight seasons but is 1-2 ATS.
Texas Bowl
Texas Tech vs Ole Miss
Dating back to 2006, favorites are 10-5 SU in the last 15 Texas Bowls.
Since 2013, Texas Tech has been listed as the underdog in its last five bowl games, going 3-2 ATS.
The UNDER has hit in Ole Miss’ last six bowl appearances going back to 2013.
Pinstripe Bowl
Syracuse vs Minnesota
Underdogs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 Pinstripe Bowls.
Syracuse has won and covered its past four bowl appearances.
Minnesota ended its five-game bowl losing streak in 2015 and is 5-0 SU in postseason play since then.
Cheez-It Bowl
Oklahoma vs Florida State
The total has gone OVER just once in the last 10 Cheez-It Bowl games.
Oklahoma has combined to score 102 points in its last two bowl contests in 2020 and 2021, covering the spread both times as the favorite.
Oklahoma (6-6) is looking to avoid its first losing record since 1998.
Since 2015, Florida State is 2-3 SU and ATS in five bowl performances.
Alamo Bowl
Texas vs Washington
Over the last 10 seasons, favorites and underdogs have split victories, recording even 5-5 SU marks. The underdogs are 6-4 ATS and the OVER has gone 6-4.
Texas is 4-0 ATS in its past four bowl games and has held opponents to 23 points or less each time.
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last seven meetings with Big 12 programs.
Mayo Bowl
Maryland vs NC State
Dating back to 2002, the favorites are 13-6 SU in the 19 Mayo Bowl contests.
Maryland is 5-1 on the OVER in its last six bowl appearances, scoring 30 or more points in three of those games.
The OVER is 7-1 in NC State’s past eight bowl games.
Sun Bowl
Pittsburgh vs UCLA
Since 1995, underdogs are 19-6-1 ATS in 26 Sun Bowls.
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six bowl games, giving up 30 or more points in five of those contests.
UCLA hasn’t played a bowl game since 2017 and is 0-2 SU in its last two postseason games.
Gator Bowl
Notre Dame vs South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER eight times in the last 10 Gator Bowls.
Notre Dame, preparing for its 40th bowl game, has dropped its two most recent bowl appearances.
Notre Dame won five of its last six games to wrap up the season, scoring a total of 226 points in the six games.
South Carolina is 5-1 ATS in six bowl games between 2014 and 2021.
Arizona Bowl
Ohio vs Wyoming
Since the Arizona Bowl kicked off in 2015, favorites and underdogs share a 3-3 SU and ATS record in six games.
Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last five bowl games with the UNDER hitting in the three most recent appearances.
Ohio is 4-1 ATS when favored by two or more points this season.
Wyoming, on a three-game hot streak in the postseason, is 6-1 ATS in its seven all-time bowl showcases.
Sportsbook
Orange Bowl
Tennessee vs Clemson
Ten-point favorites are 4-0 SU in the Orange Bowl in the last 10 seasons and 8-1 SU since 1995.
The OVER is 6-1 in Tennessee’s last seven bowl games between 2009 and 2021.
In its past five postseason games, Tennessee has scored 38 points or more on four occasions.
Tennessee averages a nation-best 45.7 points per game.
Clemson has been featured in a bowl game every season for the last 10 years, going 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS.
Music City Bowl
Iowa vs Kentucky
Favorites are 7-3 SU in the last 10 Music City Bowl games.
Kentucky (21.3 PPG) is the worst offensive team in the SEC and Iowa (18.4 PPG) is the worst in the Big Ten.
These teams are meeting in the postseason for the second straight season. Kentucky won 20-17 when they played a year ago.
Iowa is 3-6 SU in its past nine bowl matchups, scoring more than 20 points just four times.
Sugar Bowl
Alabama vs Kansas State
In the last 10 Sugar Bowls, favorites are 4-6 SU and ATS.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Alabama’s last 5 bowl appearances.
Alabama is 5-6-1 ATS this year as chalk and was a favorite of 20 points or more eight times.
Kansas State is playing in its first New Year’s Six bowl matchup, carrying a 3-2 SU and ATS record in its last five bowls.
Fiesta Bowl (CFP Semifinal)
TCU vs Michigan
Favorites are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 Fiesta Bowls.
TCU hasn’t played a bowl game since 2018 but is 4-1 SU in its last five postseason games.
The UNDER is 5-1 in TCU’s last six games against a Big Ten Conference team.
Michigan is 16-0 SU in its last 16 games as a favorite and has a 13-0 record this season, the best in school history.
Michigan is 0-5 SU and ATS in its last five bowl games.
Peach Bowl (CFP Semifinal)
Ohio State vs Georgia
Dating back to 1995, underdogs are 17-10 (63%) ATS, including 6-4 ATS in the last 10 seasons.
Georgia is 35-21-3 heading into its 60th bowl game appearance while Ohio State is 28-27 as it prepares for its 56th bowl performance.
Ohio State is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games as an underdog.
The OVER has hit in three consecutive bowl games for Ohio State.
Georgia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 bowl matchups and has been favored in all but one, going 7-2-1 ATS.
Georgia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games vs a Big Ten opponent.
Cotton Bowl
Tulane vs USC
In the last 10 Cotton Bowls, the favorites are 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS.
Tulane was an underdog only twice this season, finishing 2-0 ATS by winning outright each time.
The OVER hit in USC’s last seven matchups in the regular season and in Tulane’s last six.
Tulane is 11-2 ATS this season, the best spread record in college football.
USC hasn’t covered in its last five bowl matchups, with each line set at 9.5 points or less.
Rose Bowl
Penn State vs Utah
In the last 10 Rose Bowls, the OVER is 7-3.
Utah was on a five-game postseason win streak between 2011 and 2017. Since then, it has lost three straight bowl games.
The OVER has hit in four of Penn State’s last five bowl matchups.
Penn State has alternated wins and losses in bowl games since January 2017. If that continues, it should win in this upcoming bowl.
