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Fiesta Bowl betting preview

In a meeting of two teams who must be thinking about what could have been 11-1 Kansas State battles 11-1 Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl Thursday, Jan. 3 in Glendale (8:30 pm ET, ESPN).

The early Fiesta Bowl betting odds showed the Ducks, who missed out on playing in the Pac-12 championship game because of an overtime loss to Stanford, as eight-point favorites over the Big 12-champion Wildcats, whose only loss came at Baylor.

Underdogs are 5-1 ATS in the past 6 Fiesta Bowls, while Kansas State is a bankroll-bleeding 1-6 ATS in its past 7 bowl games. [ More Fiesta Bowl betting stats, matchup trends and more, click here ]

View Kansas State vs Oregon Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Wildcats in this one found them as 8-point underdogs on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. The total was a sky-high 75.5 in early wagering at Bovada.

Oregon Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2LineATS win
1995Cotton BowlOregon6Colorado38-7COLO
1997Las Vegas BowlOregon41Air Force133OREG
1998Aloha BowlColorado51Oregon43-4.5COLO
1999Sun BowlMinnesota20Oregon242OREG
2000Holiday BowlTexas30Oregon357OREG
2001Fiesta BowlOregon38Colorado16-3OREG
2002Seattle BowlWake Forest38Oregon38-8.5WAKE
2003Sun BowlOregon30Minnesota31-5.5OREG
2005Holiday BowlOklahoma17Oregon14-3OKLA
2006Las Vegas BowlBYU38Oregon83.5BYU
2007Sun BowlOregon56South Florida21-5.5OREG
2008Holiday BowlOregon42Oklahoma State311OREG
2009Rose BowlOhio State26Oregon17-4.5OHIOST
2010BCS Championship GameOregon19Auburn221AUBRN
2011Rose BowlWisconsin38Oregon45-4.5OREG

Kansas State Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2LineATS win
1995Holiday BowlColorado State21Kansas State54-8KAN.ST
1996Cotton BowlKansas State15BYU193BYU
1997Fiesta BowlSyracuse18Kansas State35-4KAN.ST
1998Alamo BowlKansas State34Purdue37-14KAN.ST
1999Holiday BowlWashington20Kansas State2411KAN.ST
2000Cotton BowlTennessee21Kansas State35-3.5KAN.ST
2001Insight BowlSyracuse26Kansas State3-6SYRACU
2002Holiday BowlKansas State34Arizona State2717.5ARIZST
2003Fiesta BowlKansas State28Ohio State356.5OHIOST
2006Texas BowlKansas State10Rutgers37-9RUTGER
2010Pinstripe BowlKansas State34Syracuse360SYRACU
2011Cotton BowlKansas State16Arkansas29-9.5ARK

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oregon's No. 2-ranked offense (50.8 PPG) against a Wildcats defense that ranks No. 24 at 21.1 PPG. The Ducks passing attack has averaged 226.8 yards per game, less than the Wildcats give up through the air (255.8 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Wildcats own the league's No. 32-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 135.6 yards per game when on the road. Oregon, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Kansas State was a 42-24 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas. They covered the 10.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (66) made winners of OVER bettors. Collin Klein ran through the Texas defense for 103 yards in Kansas State's last game, handing the Longhorns a 42-24 setback on Saturday at Snyder Family Stadium.

Last time out for Oregon, they were a 48-24 winner as they battled Oregon State on the road. Oregon covered in the match as a 11.5-point favorite, while 72 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Kenjon Barner ran through the Oregon State defense for 198 yards in Oregon's last game, handing the Beavers a 48-24 setback on Saturday at Reser Stadium.

Kansas State Wildcats Trends:
When playing in January are 1-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When an underdog on the road are 5-5

Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in January are 2-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When favored at home are 8-2

A few Wildcats at Ducks trends to consider:
Kansas State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
Oregon is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games