The Florida State Seminoles (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS) are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS in their last three games against the Florida Gators (6-5, 6-5). The Seminoles hope to end their losing streak against the Gators by cashing in as a Florida vs Florida State prediction favorite Friday night in Tallahassee.

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Florida vs Florida State Betting Preview

Florida vs Florida State Opening Odds

The Seminoles opened as an 8-point favorite in the Sunshine Showdown before receiving enough betting action to drive the line up to Florida State -9.5. The total in this rivalry game has settled in at 58 points after opening at 58.5 points. The UNDER is 8-3 in Florida’s last 11 games at Florida State.

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Florida Has Played Well As An Underdog This Season

The Gators entered their game against the Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday with plenty of momentum coming off back-to-back wins of 41-24 over the Texas A&M Aggies and 38-6 over the South Carolina Gamecocks. But as 14-point favorites on the road, Florida fell short in a 31-24 loss. Anthony Richardson wound up with a solid stat line, going 25-for-42 with 400 passing yards, three touchdowns and one interception against the Commodores, though it wasn’t enough to win the game.

Florida has not been a reliable favorite this season with a 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS record. The Gators have shown some bite as an underdog, however, with a perfect 4-0 ATS record in four games as one, including two outright upsets over the Utah Utes and Texas A&M. Before Saturday’s loss at Vanderbilt, the Gators were 3-0 ATS on the road.

Florida State Has Been Red-Hot Since 3-Game Losing Streak

The Seminoles rolled to a 49-17 win over the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns on Saturday, easily covering the spread as a 25-point favorite at home. Trey Benson had 16 carries for 80 rushing yards and a touchdown in the win, leading a rushing attack that finished the day with 251 yards and five touchdowns on 45 attempts. Florida State is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS over its last four games.

After opening the season with a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record, the Seminoles hit a midseason slump, going 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS in October. They’ve been on fire since then, though, averaging 43.3 points per game on offense and allowing only 9.8 points per game on defense over their current four-game winning streak. Benson has played a big role in the recent surge with 482 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns in his last four games.

Florida: Keys to Win

Anthony Richardson is a dynamic playmaker capable of making big plays in both the passing and running games. To break up Florida State’s recent dominance and to cover the spread or pull off an upset as a Florida vs Florida State prediction, the Gators are going to need a great effort out of Richardson.

Florida State: Keys to Win

Florida State has been running the ball well and will face a Gators defense that has struggled against the run this season, giving up 171.5 rushing yards per game. If the Seminoles can establish their running game early at home, they’ll have a clear path to victory as a Florida vs Florida State pick.

College Football Computer Pick: Florida +9.5

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Shark Bites
  • Florida is 6-12 ATS over its last 18 games.
  • Florida State is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 November games.
  • The UNDER is 10-5 in Florida State’s last 15 games.
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