The Wisconsin Badgers are 5-0 SU and ATS over their last five games against the Indiana Hoosiers with an average margin of victory of 47.8 points per game. The Badgers will be looking for another blowout win over the Hoosiers at home on Saturday afternoon.
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
The Badgers opened as 10-point favorites in this matchup but have quickly been hammered down to -13 with the news that Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr. will be out. The total has also seen a sharp dip from 50.5 points down to 47.5 points. The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 games in this head-to-head series.
Indiana News & Notes
The Hoosiers improved to 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS on the season with their 27-11 win over the Maryland Terrapins last Saturday. Indiana should be entering this game against Wisconsin full of excitement and confidence, but the team received the devastating news on Monday that starting quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has been lost for the season with a torn ACL.
Penix has been outstanding for the Hoosiers this season with 1,645 passing yards, 14 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions across six games.
Starting running back Stevie Scott III also suffered an injury against Maryland and is listed as questionable to start against Wisconsin. Indiana will turn to sophomore quarterback Jack Tuttle down the stretch. Tuttle went 5-for-5 with 31 passing yards in relief of Penix against the Terrapins.
Wisconsin News & Notes
After crushing the Illinois Fighting Illini 45-7 and the Michigan Wolverines 49-11, the Badgers entered their road matchup against the Northwestern Wildcats as 7-point road favorites.
Wisconsin’s offense coughed up five turnovers and managed only seven points in a 17-7 loss to the Wildcats that dropped the Badgers to 2-1 SU and ATS on the season. With their last game against the Minnesota Golden Gophers canceled, the Badgers may not have enough time to make up for that loss with only two games left on the schedule.
Graham Mertz had thrown seven touchdown passes with no interceptions in his first two games before throwing three picks against the Wildcats. It will be interesting to see how the freshman bounces back Saturday after getting his first taste of adversity in Wisconsin’s last game.
Betting Pick: Wisconsin -13
If Michael Penix Jr. were healthy, this would have been a very intriguing matchup. Without him, it’s going to be tough for the Hoosiers to keep this one close against a very strong Wisconsin offense that should be itching for a chance at redemption.