Kansas State vs TCU Picks & Odds: Horned Frogs Look To Stay Undefeated With Win

The TCU Horned Frogs (12-0 SU, 9-2-1 ATS) are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games against the Kansas State Wildcats (9-3, 8-3-1). The Horned Frogs will try to remain undefeated and win the Big 12 championship by cashing in as a Kansas State vs TCU prediction this Saturday in Arlington.

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Kansas State vs TCU Sportsbook Odds

The Horned Frogs opened as 1.5-point favorites in this Big 12 showdown before receiving enough betting support to drive the Kansas State vs TCU odds up to TCU -2.5. Betting action on the OVER has shifted the total up to 62 points after it opened at 60.5 points. The UNDER is 6-1 in TCU’s last seven games against Kansas State.

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Kansas State Has Been Hot Down The Stretch With Will Howard Under Center

The Wildcats wrapped up their regular season with a 47-27 win in Rivalry Week against the Kansas Jayhawks as 12-point favorites at home. Kansas State rushed the ball 42 times for 230 yards and four touchdowns in the win with Deuce Vaughn’s 25 carries and 147 yards leading the way. The team improved to 3-0 SU and ATS over its last three games and is now 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine.

Starting quarterback Adrian Martinez left Kansas State’s 38-28 loss against the Horned Frogs on October 22 on the second drive. Will Howard took over and went 13-for-20 with 220 passing yards, two passing touchdowns and one interception. Howard has been great since then with 999 passing yards and an 11-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in four games as a starter and will get another shot against TCU on Saturday.

TCU Has Passed Every Test It Has Faced This Season

The Horned Frogs continued to reward their backers in Saturday’s regular-season finale, cruising to a 62-14 win over Iowa State as 9.5-point favorites. Max Duggan went 17-for-24 with 212 passing yards, three passing touchdowns and no interceptions in the blowout win. Duggan has been fantastic this season with 3,070 passing yards, 29 touchdown passes and only three interceptions along with 294 rushing yards and five rushing majors.

TCU enters the Big 12 championship game with a perfect 12-0 SU record and an impressive 9-2-1 ATS mark. Despite their dominance, the Horned Frogs haven’t been favored by double digits since Week 2 and have been an underdog twice in their last nine games. Many college football fans and experts thought that TCU’s success this season was unsustainable coming off a 5-7 campaign in 2021, but the Horned Frogs have proven their doubters wrong with consistently strong play.

Kansas State: Keys To Victory

Kansas State had a 28-17 lead at halftime on the road against TCU in October before being outscored 21-0 in the second half. If the Wildcats are able to get off to another strong start in this neutral-site game, they may have a better shot of holding on for the win as a Kansas State vs TCU prediction without a hostile road crowd working against them.

TCU: Keys To Victory

The Horned Frogs have an average margin of victory of 17 points per game this season and have already beaten the Wildcats by 10. If TCU continues to play as well as it has all season on Saturday, the team should remain undefeated and be on its way to the College Football Playoff with a win as a Kansas State vs TCU pick.

College Football Computer Pick: TCU -1.5

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