NCAAF

Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats

Michigan State
Spartans
0 - 0
Northwestern
Wildcats
0 - 0
September 03, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
 | Ryan Field

Game Preview

Michigan State
Spartans
0 - 0
Northwestern
Wildcats
0 - 0
September 03, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
 | Ryan Field
  • Coming off a 7-2 SU season that concluded with a win over Auburn in the Citrus Bowl, Northwestern begins defense of its Big Ten West title when it hosts Michigan State. The Spartans handed Northwestern one of those two losses last year, however, shocking the Wildcats as two-touchdown underdogs.

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    Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats
    • Date/Time: September 3, 9 p.m. ET
    • Stadium: Ryan Field
    • TV Coverage: ESPN
    • Sportsbook Odds: Northwestern -7.5 | O/U 45.5 (Line History)
    • Michigan State vs Northwestern Matchup Report

    Sportsbook Odds Analysis

    Bettors have been all over the Spartans in this matchup, betting Michigan State all the way down to a 3-point underdog by the time of writing. The Sportsbook total of 45.5 was one of the lowest on the Week 1 betting board and has seen very little movement in early betting action.

    Michigan State News & Notes

    The Spartans might have been the most difficult team in the nation to get a gauge on last season, upsetting both Michigan and Northwestern as double-digit underdogs while losing their five other games by an average of 26.4 points. Michigan State’s overall 2-5 SU and ATS mark in 2020 dropped Sparty to 6-18 ATS in its last 24 outings and 3-12 ATS in its last 15 Big Ten contests.

    That volatility could continue early this season as the Spartans plug more than 40 new players into the lineup, including either redshirt sophomore Payton Thorne or Temple grad transfer Anthony Russo at starting quarterback. Thorne started Michigan State’s season finale last year at Penn State, throwing for 325 yards and three touchdowns, while Russo sported a 16-10 SU record in his Temple career but was picked off 32 times in his final 28 games.

    Northwestern News & Notes

    As their 7-2 record to the UNDER last season suggests, the Wildcats relied heavily on their defense for all the success they enjoyed in 2020. That defense could look a lot different this year, however, after losing its top two tacklers in linebackers Blake Gallagher and Paddy Fisher as well as star cornerback Greg Newsome II. Even the coordinator is different as former Las Vegas Raiders defensive backs coach Jim O’Neil takes over from the retired Mike Hankwitz.

    Northwestern will also have a new quarterback under centre as senior Hunter Johnson replaces the departed Peyton Ramsey. Johnson, a former five-star recruit who transferred from Clemson in 2018, didn’t start any games last year after an injury-plagued 2019 campaign in which he threw just one touchdown pass and was picked off four times.

    Staff Betting Pick: OVER 45.5

    This total is higher than we’ve seen for any of the last six meetings between these squads, but oddsmakers may not have adjusted it enough for a Northwestern defense that should take some time to round into form.

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    Shark Bites
    • Michigan State is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 conference games.
    • Northwestern is 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10 conference games.
    • The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings (avg. points: 60.4).

Odds

Friday, September 3 Fri Sep 3


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+7.5
-107
+252
o45.5
-107
-7.5
-107
-283
u45.5
-107
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+3
-106
+140
o45
-110
-3
-114
-160
u45
-110

Edge Finder

2.92
Total Score
2.58
233.00
Passing Yards
314.00
197.00
Rushing Yards
214.00
22:38
Time on Field
34:12
56.00
Number of Plays
85.00
7.68
Yards Per Play
6.21
2.92
Total Score
2.58
0.58
First Quarter
0.25
1.17
Second Quarter
1.17
0.00
Third Quarter
0.58
1.17
Fourth Quarter
0.58
233.00
Passing Yards
314.00
24.00
Pass Attempts
38.00
12.00
Pass Completions
27.00
0.08
Sacks
0.00
0.58
Sack Yards
0.00
19.42
Yards Per Pass
11.63
197.00
Rushing Yards
214.00
32.00
Rush Attempts
47.00
6.16
Yards Per Rush
4.55
0.08
Interceptions
0.00
0.08
Fumbles
0.08
0.08
Fumbles Lost
0.08
0.17
Total Turnovers
0.08
0.17
Penalties
0.67
2.50
Penalty Yards
5.42
22:38
Time on Field
34:12
56.00
Number of Plays
85.00
7.68
Yards Per Play
6.21
0.33
Punts
0.50
50.50
Punt Average
40.80
5.50
Return Yards
5.00

Head To Head

MSU
Stat Type NWEST
6-4
Record
4-6
5-5
ATS
5-5
6-4
O/U
6-4
29.00
Score
23.90
120.40
Rush Yds
98.60
37.40
Pass Attempts
41.30
61.23
Completion %
63.68
303.00
Passing Yds
261.40
423.4
Total Yds
360
1.40
Turnovers
1.90
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
2-1
Record
1-2
2-1
ATS
1-2
3-0
O/U
3-0
26.33
Score
19.67
133.33
Rush Yds
70.00
36.67
Pass Attempts
42.67
54.55
Completion %
56.25
241.33
Passing Yds
240.33
374.67
Total Yds
310.33
1.00
Turnovers
3.00
Nov 28/20 (1 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Home
Away
29
Score
20
+13.5
ATS
-13.5
40.5 o
O/U
40.5 u
195
Rush Yds
63
27
Pass Attempts
44
40.74
Completion %
50.00
167
Passing Yds
222
362
Total Yds
285
1
Turnovers
4
Sep 21/19 (2 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Away
Home
31
Score
10
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
35 o
O/U
35 u
109
Rush Yds
139
31
Pass Attempts
37
58.06
Completion %
51.35
228
Passing Yds
126
337
Total Yds
265
1
Turnovers
3
Oct 6/18 (3 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Home
Away
19
Score
29
-10.5
ATS
+10.5
43.5 o
O/U
43.5 u
96
Rush Yds
8
52
Pass Attempts
47
59.62
Completion %
65.96
329
Passing Yds
373
425
Total Yds
381
1
Turnovers
2
Oct 28/17 (4 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Away
Home
31
Score
39
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
40 o
O/U
40 u
95
Rush Yds
64
57
Pass Attempts
50
68.42
Completion %
68.00
445
Passing Yds
368
540
Total Yds
432
2
Turnovers
1
Oct 15/16 (5 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Home
Away
40
Score
54
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
41.5 o
O/U
41.5 u
51
Rush Yds
209
42
Pass Attempts
35
64.29
Completion %
77.14
424
Passing Yds
281
475
Total Yds
490
2
Turnovers
1
Nov 23/13 (6 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Away
Home
30
Score
6
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
41 o
O/U
41 u
171
Rush Yds
80
23
Pass Attempts
46
69.57
Completion %
58.70
293
Passing Yds
239
464
Total Yds
319
0
Turnovers
3
Nov 17/12 (7 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Home
Away
20
Score
23
-7
ATS
+7
47 o
O/U
47 u
122
Rush Yds
57
47
Pass Attempts
43
46.81
Completion %
60.47
297
Passing Yds
246
419
Total Yds
303
4
Turnovers
0
Nov 26/11 (8 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Away
Home
31
Score
17
-6
ATS
+6
53 o
O/U
53 u
166
Rush Yds
117
20
Pass Attempts
34
70.00
Completion %
70.59
214
Passing Yds
253
380
Total Yds
370
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 23/10 (9 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Away
Home
35
Score
27
-5
ATS
+5
51 o
O/U
51 u
105
Rush Yds
170
44
Pass Attempts
30
68.18
Completion %
63.33
352
Passing Yds
215
457
Total Yds
385
1
Turnovers
2
Oct 17/09 (10 of 10)
MSU
Stat Type NWEST
Home
Away
24
Score
14
-14
ATS
+14
48 o
O/U
48 u
94
Rush Yds
79
31
Pass Attempts
47
67.74
Completion %
72.34
281
Passing Yds
291
375
Total Yds
370
1
Turnovers
2

Team Records

MSU
Record NWEST
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
MSU
Record NWEST
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
MSU
Record NWEST
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0

Gametime Weather

8:00pm Cloudy
22ºC / 71ºF
66% Humidity
24% Precipitation
95% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 9
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Dec 12, 2020PSU24-39L+14.5/46-L/O643253891192864050
Dec 5, 2020OSU12-52L+22.5/59-L/O811802613221995213
Nov 28, 2020NWEST29-20W+13.5/40.5-W/O19516736263222285-3
Nov 14, 2020INDY0-24L+7.5/52.5-L/U601311911133204332
Nov 7, 2020IOWA7-49L+5.5/46-L/O592272862261794053
Oct 31, 2020MICH27-24W+21.5/52-W/U1263234491523004520
Oct 24, 2020RUT27-38L-9.5/45-L/O503193691061702764
Dec 27, 2019WAKE27-21W-3.5/51.5-W/U1773204971761753511
Nov 30, 2019MARYL19-16W-21.5/47.5-L/U88342430164152316-1
Nov 23, 2019RUTGER27-0W-21.5/43.5-W/U1562393958357140-1
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Jan 1, 2021AUB35-19W-4/45-W/O16629145761300361-1
Dec 19, 2020OSU10-22L+16.5/57.5-W/U1052243293991145131
Dec 12, 2020ILL28-10W-13.5/41.5-W/U411824931551072621
Nov 28, 2020MSU20-29L-13.5/40.5-L/O632222851951673623
Nov 21, 2020WIS17-7W+7/43-W/U24239263136230366-4
Nov 14, 2020PUR27-20W-3.5/48-W/U8021229222632650
Nov 7, 2020NEB21-13W-4/54-W/U1481693172242184420
Oct 31, 2020IOWA21-20W-1/42.5-P/U143130273772162930
Oct 24, 2020MARY43-3W-13/52.5-W/U32521253764143207-4
Nov 30, 2019ILLINO29-10W+6/39-W/P3785543314146160-1
View Game Logs