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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Bowling Green Falcons in NCAAF odds tilt

Bowling Green FalconsMississippi State Bulldogs
5-1October 12, 2013, 07:30 | Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field2-3

A key Week 7 battle has the visiting Falcons travelling to Mississippi State on Saturday to face the Bulldogs.

The Falcons will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 4-2 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Bulldogs are 3-2 ATS. Bowling Green is 1-5 against the total, while Mississippi State is 3-2 versus the number.

View Bowling Green Falcons vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds and Stats.

Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Bulldogs as -8.5-point favorites in the matchup, while the betting total had not been set at press time (check the college football odds link for the latest on the over under)..

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Bulldogs rated this week at No. 88 and the Falcons sitting at No. 37. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 39-32 result in favor of the Falcons this week.

Bowling Green was a 28-7 winner in its last match at home against Massachusetts. They failed to cover the 26.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 35 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Dak Prescott ran through the LSU defense for 103 yards in Mississippi State's last game, but the Bulldogs still lost a 59-26 decision at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi State's No. 48-ranked offense (32.4 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 15 at 16.5 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 256.4 yards per game, more than the Falcons give up through the air (193.67 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Falcons own the league's No. 88-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 203 yards per game when on the road. Mississippi State, on the other hand, rates No. 31 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Next up:
Bowling Green at Toledo, Saturday, October 26th
Mississippi State at Kentucky, Thursday, October 24th