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Navy Midshipmen vs Hawaii Warriors in NCAAF odds tilt

Hawaii WarriorsNavy Midshipmen
0-8November 09, 2013, 03:30 | Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium4-4

The visiting Warriors hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium against the Midshipmen.

The Midshipmen are 4-4 so far on the season, and 6-2 ATS vs. the number. The Warriors, meanwhile, are 0-8 and 4-4 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Navy go 3-5 and the Warriors go 5-3 on the totals.

View Hawaii Warriors vs Navy Midshipmen Odds and Stats.

Navy were sitting as -18-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

The Midshipmen - Warriors odds would favor the Midshipmen if the lines were set according to power ranks. Navy is rated No. 82 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Warriors sit at No. 89. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 29-13 win for the Midshipmen.

The Midshipmen suffered a Week 10 loss against Notre Dame in their last game, falling 38-34 at Notre Dame Stadium.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Navy's No. 63-ranked offense (29.5 PPG) against a Warriors defense that ranks No. 108 at 36.75 PPG. The Midshipmen passing attack has averaged 101.88 yards per game, less than the Warriors give up through the air (299.88 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Warriors feature the league's No. 35-rated road run defense, allowing 138 yards per game. Navy, meanwhile, ranks No. 15 in rushing offense at home.

A few Warriors at Midshipmen trends to consider:
Hawaii is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Hawaii is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games
Hawaii is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Navy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Navy is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 7 games
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Hawaii at San Diego State, Saturday, November 16th
Navy at South Alabama, Saturday, November 16th