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Outback Bowl betting preview

In one of the three Big Ten-SEC bowl match-up of this season 8-4 Michigan takes on 10-2 South Carolina in the Outback Bowl New Year's Day in Tampa (1 pm ET, ESPN).

Early Outback Bowl odds were showing the Gamecocks, who went 6-2 in SEC play this season, as five-point favorites over the Wolverines, who went 6-2 in Big Ten play.

Eight of the past 11 Outback Bowls played OVER total, while Michigan backers have suffered through a 3-6-1 ATS run in 10 recent bowls. [ More Outback Bowl betting stats, trends and matchup info ]

View Michigan vs South Carolina Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The home team opened as 4-point favorites in this NCAA football battle at 5Dimes. The over under line was 48 in early bowl betting at Bovada.

Michigan Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2LineATS win
1995Alamo BowlMichigan20Texas A&M225TEXA&M
1996Outback BowlAlabama17Michigan141ALAB
1997Rose BowlWashington State16Michigan21-7WSHST
1998Capital One BowlArkansas31Michigan45-2.5MICH
1999Orange BowlMichigan35Alabama34-2.5MICH
2000Capital One BowlAuburn28Michigan31-8AUBRN
2001Capital One BowlMichigan17Tennessee45-3.5TENN
2002Outback BowlFlorida30Michigan38-1.5MICH
2003Rose BowlMichigan14Southern Cal28-7USC
2004Rose BowlMichigan37Texas38-7MICH
2005Alamo BowlNebraska32Michigan28-10NEBR
2006Rose BowlMichigan18Southern Cal322USC
2007Capital One BowlMichigan41Florida35-10.5MICH
2010Gator BowlMichigan14Mississippi State52-3MIS.ST
2011Sugar BowlMichigan23Virginia Tech203Push

South Carolina Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2LineATS win
2000Outback BowlSouth Carolina24Ohio State7-6.5S.CARO
2001Outback BowlOhio State28South Carolina310S.CARO
2005Independence BowlMissouri38South Carolina31-3.5MIZZOU
2006Liberty BowlHouston36South Carolina44-5S.CARO
2008Outback BowlIowa31South Carolina103.5IOWA
2009Papajohns.com BowlConnecticut20South Carolina7-4CONN
2010Chick-Fil-A BowlFlorida State26South Carolina17-2.5FLAST
2011Capital One BowlNebraska13South Carolina30-3S.CARO

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up South Carolina's No. 43-ranked offense (31.4 PPG) against a Wolverines defense that ranks No. 16 at 18.8 PPG. The Gamecocks passing attack has averaged 229.5 yards per game, more than the Wolverines give up through the air (155.2 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Wolverines feature the league's No. 41-rated road run defense, allowing 146.2 yards per game. South Carolina, meanwhile, ranks No. 77 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Michigan, they were a 26-21 loser as they battled Ohio State on the road. Michigan failed to cover in the match as a 4-point underdog, while 47 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, Michigan got a 122-yard performance from Denard Robinson, but Ohio State prevailed 26-21.

South Carolina was a 27-17 winner in its last match on the road against Clemson. They covered the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 44 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Dylan Thompson throttled the Tigers defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 310 yards as South Carolina handed Clemson a 27-17 defeat.

Michigan Wolverines Trends:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 7-3
When an underdog on the road are 2-8

South Carolina Gamecocks Trends:
When playing in January are 3-2
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When favored at home are 10-0

A few Wolverines at Gamecocks trends to consider:
Michigan is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
South Carolina is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games