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High-Flying Offense The Story Of Penn St, Michigan St Rivalry

One does not typically conjure up images of high-octane shootouts when they think of Big Ten football but that is exactly what Penn State and Michigan State bring to the table. In their past seven meetings, the Nittany Lions and Spartans have averaged a combined 58.7 points per game with the OVER going 6-1.

Shark Bites
  • Michigan State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
  • Penn State is 15-1-1 ATS in its last 17 games.
  • Penn State is 1-3 SU and ATS in its last 4 games against Michigan State.

That being said, the offense was incredibly one-sided when these programs met last season, as Penn State won 45-12. Penn State QB Trace McSorley had one of the best games of his collegiate career, throwing for 376 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions.

Penn State will need to reaffirm its place among the nation’s best after losing a heartbreaker to Ohio State last week. The Nittany Lions allowed the Buckeyes to score 19 points in the fourth quarter – 11 of those coming in the final five minutes – and ultimately lost by one point. Star running back Saquon Barkley opened the game with a kick return for a touchdown but then was held to just 67 yards on 25 touches.

Michigan State comes into this game off a crazy back-and-forth overtime loss to Northwestern. Sophomore quarterback Brian Lewerke did everything he could to get the win for his squad – throwing for 445 yards and four touchdowns – but threw a game-ending interception in triple overtime.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Michigan State Spartans pegged as 12-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, had yet to be posted as of writing; check the lines shortly.

OddsShark college football prediction models picked a 37-22 result in favor of the Nittany Lions on Saturday. Check the matchup report for any updates or pick revisions before kickoff. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan State Spartans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Michigan State Spartans are 6-2 overall and 5-3 against the spread, while the Nittany Lions are 7-1 and 6-1-1 ATS. As for the totals, Michigan State is 3-5 on the OU, and Penn State is 3-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Michigan State vs Penn State injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Michigan State Spartans at No. 61 and the Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 3 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Michigan State Spartans' No. 97-ranked offense (23.75 PPG) against a Penn State Nittany Lions defense that ranks No. 7 at 13.25 PPG. The Michigan State passing attack has averaged 226.5 yards per game, more than the Nittany Lions give up through the air (187.62 YPG on average).

Defensively, Penn State features the league's No. 25-rated road run defense, allowing 116.67 yards per game. Michigan State, meanwhile, ranks No. 75 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Nittany Lions were Week 9 losers coming out on the wrong end of a 39-38 score against Ohio State.

Brian Lewerke's 445-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Northwestern earned a 39-31 win over Michigan State on Saturday at Ryan Field.

Betting Trends
  • Penn State is 15-1-1 ATS in its last 17 games
  • Penn State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
  • Penn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Michigan State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
  • Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan State's last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Penn State home to Rutgers, Saturday, November 11
Michigan State at Ohio State, Saturday, November 11