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Point spread favors Jaguars in battle with Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red WolvesSouth Alabama Jaguars
3-4November 02, 2013, 07:30 | Ladd Peebles Stadium3-4

The Jaguars hope to be bad hosts on Saturday as the Red Wolves pay a visit to Ladd Peebles Stadium in Week 10 betting action.

Backers of the Jaguars have seen them go 3-4 and 5-2 ATS so far this season, while the Red Wolves are at 3-4 and 2-5 ATS. In totals betting, the Red Wolves are 3-4, while the Jaguars are 4-2-1.

View Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Odds and Stats.

Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Jaguars as -2.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest.

The Jaguars sit at No. 72 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Red Wolves are at No. 55 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Jaguars will win this game 29-26.

Arkansas State was a 23-7 loser in their most recent outing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette. They failed to cover the 1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (30) made winners of UNDER bettors. In South Alabama's last outing, Ross Metheny threw for 300 yards in a losing cause against the Bobcats, 33-31 at Bobcat Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits South Alabama's No. 52-ranked offense, averaging 31.29 PPG, against a Red Wolves defense that ranks No. 72 this week at 28.86 PPG. The Jaguars aerial game is averaging 281 yards per game, more than the Red Wolves secondary allows through the air, 241.57 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Red Wolves feature the league's No. 120-rated road run defense, allowing 289.67 yards per game. South Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 54 in rushing offense at home.

A few Red Wolves at Jaguars trends to consider:
Arkansas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Arkansas State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Arkansas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games
South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
South Alabama is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Alabama's last 6 games
South Alabama is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next up:
Arkansas State at Louisiana-Monroe, Saturday, November 9th
South Alabama at Navy, Saturday, November 16th