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Red Wolves face Hilltoppers in Week 5 odds

Arkansas State Red WolvesWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
Oct 1, 4:00 PM | Turf of L.T. Smith Stadium

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Odds


Week 5 action on Saturday will see the Hilltoppers looking to boost their win total and cover the spread when the Red Wolves visit L.T. Smith Stadium.

Supporters of the Red Wolves have seen them go 2-2 and 4-0 ATS so far this season, while the Hilltoppers are at 0-3 and 1-2 ATS. In totals betting, the Hilltoppers are 2-1, while the Red Wolves are 1-3.

View Arkansas State vs Western Kentucky Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: If you're siding with the visitors in this one you'll find the Red Wolves listed as 10.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, the over under line will be set shortly.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Hilltoppers - Red Wolves odds would favor the Red Wolves if the lines were set according to power ranks. Western Kentucky is rated No. 72 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Red Wolves sit at No. 46. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 33-2 win for the Red Wolves.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Western Kentucky's No. 117-ranked offense, averaging 11 PPG, against a Red Wolves defense that ranks No. 43 this week at 21.5 PPG. The Hilltoppers aerial game is averaging 162.3 yards per game, less than the Red Wolves secondary allows through the air, 218.8 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Red Wolves feature the league's No. 62-rated road run defense, allowing 168.5 yards per game. Western Kentucky, meanwhile, ranks No. 86 in rushing offense at home.

Arkansas State was a 53-24 winner in its last match at home against Central Arkansas. They covered the 20.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 77 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Western Kentucky was a 44-16 loser in their most recent outing at home against Indiana State. They failed to cover the 14–point spread as favorites, while the total score (60) made winners of OVER bettors.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Trends:
When playing in October are 1-9
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few Red Wolves at Hilltoppers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games
Arkansas State is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Arkansas State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Arkansas State at Louisiana-Monroe, Saturday, October 8
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee, Thursday, October 6