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Red Wolves host Bobcats in Week 12 action

Texas State BobcatsArkansas State Red Wolves
6-3November 16, 2013, 07:30 | Liberty Bank Stadium5-4

The Red Wolves will try to pay off for their supporters on Saturday when they play host to the Bobcats at Liberty Bank Stadium in Week 12 action.

The Bobcats will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 5-4 ATS against the number this season, while the Red Wolves are 4-5 ATS. Texas State is 4-5 on the totals; Arkansas State is 4-5.

View Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Odds and Stats.

On the opening line for this matchup, the Red Wolves sat as -6.5-point favorites, according to 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 57-rated Red Wolves and the No. 65-ranked Bobcats, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 28-26 result in favor of the Red Wolves.

Texas State was a 37-21 winner in its last match on the road against Idaho. They covered the 10.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 58 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. The Bobcats grabbed a Week 10 victory over the Vandals in their last game, winning 37-21 at Kibbie Dome. Louisiana-Monroe was unable to contain Adam Kennedy in its last action Saturday and the result was a 42-14 Week 11 loss against the Red Wolves.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Arkansas State's No. 74-ranked offense (28 PPG) against a Bobcats defense that ranks No. 43 at 23.33 PPG. The Red Wolves passing attack has averaged 232.67 yards per game, less than the Bobcats give up through the air (272.89 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Bobcats feature the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 124.5 yards per game. Arkansas State, meanwhile, ranks No. 22 in rushing offense at home.

A few Bobcats at Red Wolves trends to consider:
Texas State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games
Texas State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas State is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Arkansas State is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Arkansas State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Arkansas State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games

Next up:
Texas State at Western Kentucky, Saturday, November 23rd
Arkansas State at Georgia State, Saturday, November 23rd