So far this season there are a lot of familiar names at the top of the receiving leaders, including Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs and Justin Jefferson.
But slide down a few spots and a newer name sticks out: Amon-Ra St. Brown, the top pass-catching option for the Detroit Lions. It’s been a while since the Lions had an elite wide receiver, or any top skill position player for that matter, but St. Brown has quickly made his case to belong in that elite group.
A fourth-round pick in the 2021 draft, he’s taken the NFL by storm, haunted defensive backs’ sleep, and has been one of the most profitable player prop receivers in the league just a year into his career.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop History
| Year and Week | Receiving Yards O/U | Actual Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|
| Week 2, 2022 | 64.0 | 116 |
| Week 1, 2022 | 57.5 | 64 |
| Week 18, 2021 | 67.5 | 109 |
| Week 17, 2021 | 56.5 | 111 |
| Week 16, 2021 | 42.5 | 91 |
| Week 15, 2021 | 49.5 | 90 |
| Week 14, 2021 | 49.5 | 73 |
| Week 13, 2021 | 40.5 | 86 |
| TOTAL OVER RECORD: 8-0 | 427.5 | 740 |
As this data shows, St. Brown has hit his receiving yards player prop OVER in each of his last eight regular-season games. He’s not just barely getting by either, hitting the OVER by at least 20 yards in seven of the eight weeks.
If you bet $100 on St. Brown’s player prop OVER at -110 odds in each of the last eight weeks, you’d be up over $727 in profit.
How St. Brown Became An OVERs Machine
Amon-Ra St. Brown opened last season at the bottom of the Lions’ depth chart, listed as the WR6 for Week 1. He managed to earn some playing time and the occasional target during the first few weeks, slowly climbing the depth chart as the Lions began the season 0-8. But then, in Week 12, a switch was flipped.
The Lions stopped targeting Josh Reynolds and Kalif Raymond and started to feed their new WR1, St. Brown. The rookie WR averaged 4.7 targets per game in his first 11 games before that number jumped to 8.5 for the last six contests of the season. St. Brown’s catch rate and yards per catch stayed about the same but the new volume of targets turned him into a fantasy football and real-life football beast.
How To Bet Amon-Ra St. Brown’s Player Props
Player props have quickly become one of the most entertaining and lucrative ways to bet on the NFL in recent years. There’s clearly no better way to hammer a player prop OVER than betting on St. Brown, and you’re able to find his odds for the coming weeks over at Sportsbook. Player prop odds usually come out Thursday, Friday or Saturday before a weekend slate of NFL games. Here are St. Brown’s next three opponents:
- Week 3: @ Vikings
- Week 4: vs Seahawks
- Week 5: @ Patriots
Lock in your St. Brown player props over at Sportsbook today:
St. Brown And Detroit Lions Betting Trends
Brown’s late-season breakout in 2021 also correlated with a late-season turnaround for Detroit. The Lions started the 2021 season 0-8, but after St. Brown became the undisputed WR1 in Week 12, they finished the year 3-3.
| Game Result | Targets | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In Lions Wins | 11.0 | 8.7 | 95.0 | 1.0 |
| In Lions Losses | 6.15 | 4.6 | 43.5 | 0.15 |
We’ve even seen that correlation carry into 2022, with the Lions covering the spread in their first two games of the season and St. Brown popping off both times. If you see a defensive matchup that could be good for St. Brown, or if you see him going off in a game, it may be worth a bet on the Lions moneyline if you’ve missed the boat on the St. Brown player prop.
