One of the best ways to get some value when betting on the NFL is to jump on lines early in the week before sportsbooks adjust.
If you’re as addicted to the NFL as I am, you should be able to spot an overreaction to a Sunday slate of games when you see one. This article will provide some bets I like that try to take advantage of those overreactions ... or underreactions, as the case may be.
There are also plenty of other ways to get in on the NFL betting action this season, and we’ve got you covered on everything from Super Bowl odds to Monday Night Football prop bets and NFL expert picks.
Week 6 Early Bets
cowboys +5.5 vs Philadelphia Eagles
I like this early line with the uncertainty at quarterback for the Cowboys.
The way the Cowboys have been playing, this line is already decent value. But if Dak Prescott returns for the ’Boys on Sunday Night Football, I would expect this line to move in favor of Dallas.
The Eagles just played a close game against an inferior Cardinals team that should have gone to overtime if not for an incompetent backup kicker, and I think Dallas presents a much stiffer test.
Philly also has a banged-up offensive line right now and will be facing one of the league’s best pass rushes this week.
New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns OVER 42.5
Both of these teams are effective running the ball, and neither team can stop the run.
A game that leans run-heavy can sometimes keep the score down, but I believe it will lead to more points and increased efficiency for both of these teams.
I was all over the Browns/Chargers OVER in Week 5 NFL Expert Picks, and I think this game can play out in a similar way.
Mac Jones may also return for the Pats in Week 6, which would push this line higher as the week goes on.
Carolina Panthers +11 vs Los Angeles Rams
This line has already moved down below 10 at some books, but I’m betting this at 10 or above where I can find it.
The Rams have no business being favored by 10-plus points against anyone given the state of their offense right now, and I think the Panthers should be able to get a boost after their coaching change.
Matt Rhule was clearly a bad coach, and the Panthers might actually be better with the mobile P.J. Walker starting at quarterback instead of Baker Mayfield. We’ve seen the post-coach firing bump in action before, and I think this might be another spot for it.
The Panthers have plenty of good players. They have just underachieved this season.