2019 NFL OVER/UNDER Season Win Totals
Updated: Thu, Nov 14 2019, 9:50am
Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season is just under three weeks away and we’ve been given a glimpse of how the oddsmakers think the season will unfold with projected OVER/UNDER win totals for each team.
Online sportsbook BetOnline is itching for football as much as we are at Odds Shark and – surprise, surprise – has the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots at the top of its list by having their OVER/UNDER win total at 11.5.
The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are right behind the Patriots with their lines set at 10.5 and then it’s a few second-tier teams with lines set at 10 wins. Those teams are the Los Angeles Rams, New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Chargers.
The Miami Dolphins have the distinction of being the team with the lowest projected win total at 4.5.
Although we still have the remainder of training camps, preseason games and roster cuts coming, it’s not too early to give out my three favorite plays for teams that will either surpass expectations or sink from the pressure.
Chicago Bears OVER 9 -115
This one may feel like a risk because they have to play a first-place schedule against NFC opponents but I think Chicago’s defense is too good to take the UNDER. The Bears were dominant last season as they were first in points allowed per game, third in sacks, first in interceptions and third in turnover differential by leading the league in takeaways.
While the acquisition of Khalil Mack and the subsequent play of the defense was the highlight of the Bears’ season, it’s their offense that took a leap with Mitch Trubisky under center. The Bears averaged just over 26 points per game last season and have weapons across the board to improve under second-year head coach Matt Nagy. It may come down to the final weeks of the season to hit this prop but double-digit wins are in the cards again for the Bears this season.
Seattle Seahawks OVER 8.5 -120
The NFL’s leading rushing attack may not have ended the year the way it had hoped but after winning 10 games and going 6-2 SU at home, the demise of the Seahawks has been greatly exaggerated. As long as they have Russell Wilson at quarterback, this team is good for at least nine wins. They also picked up guard Mike Iaputi to add to their shaky offensive line.
I anticipated a regression with this squad last season and they proceeded to take down some decent teams like the Panthers, Chiefs and Packers in the second half of the season. They’ll likely get two wins over the Niners and Cardinals and get to face the Bucs and Bengals at home so I think another double-digit win season is coming for Seattle.
Detroit Lions UNDER 7 -125
After finishing the season with six wins and literally limping to the finish line, it could be another rough year for the Lions. Their eight home games this season will have them playing against six teams with winning records, with the other games against the Packers and Buccaneers, who are both expected to be vastly improved from last year.
The Lions were completely decimated by injuries last year with their only highlight being that they knocked off the Patriots at home. Detroit ranked 25th in points scored per game while only topping 30 points once from Week 7 onward. Obviously, a lot can change but considering their main signings were Patriots transplants like Trey Flowers and Danny Amendola, I think that even with a last-place schedule, they play in too tough a division to win more than six games.
Here is the full list for each team’s win total for the 2019 NFL season.
| Team | 2018 Wins | 2019 Win Total | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 5.5 | +110 | -130 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 8 | -135 | +115 |
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 7.5 | +120 | -140 |
| Carolina Panthers | 7 | 8 | -135 | +115 |
| Chicago Bears | 12 | 9 | -115 | -105 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 5.5 | -130 | +110 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 9 | +115 | -135 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 9 | +110 | -130 |
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 7 | -110 | -110 |
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 7 | +105 | -125 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 9 | -145 | +125 |
| Houston Texans | 11 | 8 | -110 | -110 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 10 | 9.5 | -125 | +105 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 7.5 | -125 | +105 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 12 | 10.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 12 | 10 | -115 | -105 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 13 | 10 | +105 | -125 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 4.5 | -130 | +110 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 9 | -105 | -115 |
| New England Patriots | 11 | 11.5 | +105 | -140 |
| New Orleans Saints | 13 | 10 | -105 | -115 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 6 | +120 | -140 |
| New York Jets | 4 | 7.5 | -120 | +100 |
| Oakland Raiders | 4 | 6 | +105 | -125 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 10.5 | +115 | -135 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 9 | -125 | +105 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 8.5 | +100 | -120 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 10 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 6.5 | +100 | -120 |
| Tennessee Titans | 9 | 7.5 | -105 | -115 |
| Washington Redskins | 7 | 6.5 | +155 | -175 |
All odds courtesy of BetOnline as of August 21
What is an NFL Season Win Totals Bet?
Sometimes called an OVER/UNDER bet, you would need to decide if a team’s total wins would be more or less than the oddsmaker’s set number. These betting lines are generally created before gameplay starts. Oddsmaker’s look at previous wins, past-performances, coaching moves, roster changes, injuries and schedule before settling on a number.
Understanding NFL OVER/UNDER Odds
When you visit any NFL betting site, you’ll see NFL OVER/UNDER listed like so:
New England Patriots
11.5 OVER (+105)
11.5 UNDER (-140)
If think the Pats are going to win more than 12 games, you would take the OVER. Conversely, if you think they’ll win less than 11 games, you would bet the UNDER. The numbers in brackets are the actual odds. For instance, you could lay down $100 on the OVER at +105. If New England wins 13 games, you’d get a payout of $205 – your original money is returned along with your winnings of $105.
Check out our Odds Calculator to see how much your payout would be based on the odds and amount bet.
