If you believe the odds, Super Bowl 57 is going to be an exciting affair between the Chiefs and Eagles.
All season long, it seemed like these two top teams were destined to meet in the big game, snatching the No. 1 seed in their respective conferences and posting the two best records in the league. But now it’s time to pick a winner.
We’ve already outlined the Eagles’ case to take home the Lombardi, so it’s time to argue why the Chiefs will be victorious in Super Bowl 57. Below, we focus on why Kansas City will win the Super Bowl, what the biggest threat to their chances is, and which players need to have a big day for them to come out on top.
We also have some other Super Bowl pages for you, like an in-depth preview of the Eagles-Chiefs game, our best Super Bowl player prop bets and the odds to win Super Bowl MVP.
Super Bowl 57 Odds
| Team | Season-Opening Odds | Current ML Odds | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +750 | +105 | +1.5 (-110) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +4000 | -125 | -1.5 (-110) |
Odds as of February 7, 2023
Though the Super Bowl 57 odds opened as a pick’em, the Chiefs quickly moved into slight underdog status, where they’ve stayed for now. As a 1.5-point underdog and +105 on the moneyline, the implied odds of a KC victory are 48.78 percent.
Why The Chiefs Will Win Super Bowl 57
Despite their status as underdogs, the Chiefs have a clear advantage at quarterback. Sure, Jalen Hurts is dynamic, will be in the MVP conversation this year and has won a college national championship. But Patrick Mahomes has been playing at an elite level for the last five years and has proven he can rise to this Super Bowl moment.
The last time Mahomes made the NFL title game, he threw for 286 yards and two touchdowns and added another 29 yards and a score on the ground. That performance earned him Super Bowl MVP back in 2020 and he’s only been getting better since. Despite being one of the best QBs in the league for the last five years, you can make the case Mahomes has reached his peak this season, leading the NFL in passing touchdowns and yards.
Another edge the Chiefs have is stopping the run. With Hurts establishing himself as a two-way threat and Miles Sanders running through opponents so far this postseason for the Eagles, the Chiefs will need to stop the run to win the Super Bowl. Luckily, Kansas City allowed the fifth-fewest rushing scores in the league this year (10) and just 4.4 yards per carry. In two playoff games, the Chiefs have allowed just two rushing touchdowns and haven’t let an opposing RB break 65 yards.
If the Chiefs get a big-game performance from Mahomes and the defensive line holds up, they’ll be lifting the Lombardi on Sunday night.
The Biggest Threat To A Chiefs Super Bowl Win
Kansas City’s biggest obstacle is simple: Patrick Mahomes’ ankle.
The likely NFL MVP has battled a busted ankle since taking a hit in a divisional-round win over the Jaguars. He played through the high sprain against the Bengals, and it didn’t seem to impact his throwing too much, but it certainly limited his mobility.
With two weeks of rest, Mahomes should look more like himself on Super Bowl Sunday, but the QB’s health is Kansas City’s biggest X factor. Even with the Chiefs battling other injuries to TE Travis Kelce, CB L’Jarius Sneed and their entire receiving corps, it’s Mahomes’ ankle that’s most concerning. If Chad Henne ever has to come into the game for more than an extra-point hold, bet on the Eagles.
Chiefs Players Who Need A Big Game
QB Patrick Mahomes – OVER/UNDER 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Mahomes is the best QB in the league and a likely Super Bowl MVP candidate, and the Chiefs will go as far as he takes them. When Mahomes throws for three or more passing touchdowns this year, the Chiefs are 8-0. When he throws two TDs, they’re 3-1 and when he throws only one, they’re just 3-2.
DT Chris Jones – To Record a Sack (-150)
The Eagles can run the ball outside or try to plow through KC’s defensive line. If they try to go through the tackles, Chris Jones will be almost single-handedly tasked with stopping the rush. Jones has been to four straight Pro Bowls and recorded 17 tackles for a loss this season, the second most in his career.
You can find more player props at our complete Super Bowl player props and picks page.
