Thursday Night Football Player Prop Bet Picks: Chiefs-Raiders 2017 Season

The Chiefs play in prime time for what feels like the eighth time in seven weeks when they take on the Raiders in Oakland tonight. Kansas City took its first “L” of the season four days ago when the Steelers exposed the Chiefs defense for 400+ total yards and limited their league-best offense to just 251 total yards and 13 points.

The Raiders are in the midst of a four-game losing streak during which they are averaging just 13.5 points per game. Derek Carr returned last week from a fractured back but was uninspiring in a last-second loss to the Chargers.

Despite the difference in records, 5-1 vs 2-4, the dirty little secret is the Chiefs defense is as bad as – if not worse than – the Raiders. This presents plenty of prop bet opportunities for both teams.

All prop odds courtesy of Sportsbook.

Marshawn Lynch Total Rush Yards O/U (54 ½)
The Bet: OVER (-125)

Kansas City has allowed 130 rushing yards per game this season – 105 yards per to opposing running backs. Over the past two games, opposing RB1s averaged 126.5 RYPG. Lynch just needs a few more touches than his typical 12 carries and this is a lock to hit. With the way the offense has looked, a shakeup in OAK PASS vs RUSH is desperately needed.

Kareem Hunt Total Rush + Rec Yards O/U (120 ½)
The Bet: OVER (-130)

I waffled on the idea to take the UNDER, but elected to embrace the OVER. Here’s why.

In Week 6, on a day when the Steelers stuffed Hunt and the Chiefs’ consistent rushing game, the rookie still managed five receptions for 89 yards – a season high. Chargers running back Melvin Gordon carried the ball 25 times for 83 yards and had nine receptions for 67 yards against Oakland four days ago.

With RB2 Charcandrick West sidelined due to a concussion, look for Hunt to be more involved in the passing game and beat up a Raiders rush defense that has allowed more than 121 rush yards to opposing RBs the last four games.

Travis Kelce Total Receiving Yards O/U (62 ½ )
The Bet: OVER (-130)

Alex Smith’s top target was no doubt slowed by the after-effects of a concussion in addition to the Steelers in Week 6, but Pittsburgh is among the best in TE yards allowed per game.

Chargers tight end Hunter Henry caught five balls for 90 yards against the Raiders last week. Kelce torched the Raiders in their second meeting last season – 5 receptions for 101 yards.

Alex Smith Total Passing Yards O/U (250 ½)
The Bet: OVER (-130)

Oakland is allowing 8.0 yards per pass attempt through six games – near the bottom of the league rankings. Smith had a bad game against the Steelers and still passed for 246 yards after averaging 308.5 the previous two games.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer
The Bet: Michael Crabtree (+140)

Something seems funky about the +140, but aside from Lynch, Crabtree has the best shot at finding the end zone tonight for the Raiders. He’s scored five touchdowns in five games and one in each of the last two games. He leads the team in receiving despite missing a game due to injury. Crabtree is also among the leaders in red-zone targets the last few seasons.

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