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Odds on Which NFL Team Tom Brady Will Play For in 2020

Tom Brady Betting Props December 11 2019

The recent slide of the New England Patriots has given new life to the rumor that quarterback Tom Brady may not want to play for the Pats next season.

However, oddsmakers still think Brady and head coach Bill Belichick will resume their marriage, with the Patriots as the odds-on favorite to have the Golden Boy in uniform for the 2020 NFL season.

Online sportsbook Bovada has the Patriots at -265 to keep it business as usual and have the 42-year-old quarterback behind center. But owing to his age, the next-best betting option (+175) is that Tom Brady will retire from the NFL and ride into the sunset.

That being said, this prop wouldn’t be very much fun if sportsbooks didn’t at least offer a destination where Brady could land and the first team outside of the Pats is the Los Angeles Chargers at +375. Following the Chargers are the Chicago Bears (+1600) and Tennessee Titans (+2000).

Why Tom Brady Would Leave The Patriots

The rumors of Tom Brady potentially wanting to leave the New England Patriots technically started nearly three years ago when the Patriots brass was floating the idea of keeping backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

The Pats eventually traded Garoppolo to the San Francisco 49ers and went on to win two more Super Bowls in 2018 and 2019, so even if the higher-ups have some buyer’s remorse, they would gladly trade Garoppolo again for that exchange.

Now, that’s old news when making the comparison to Brady’s offensive performance in 2019, where he is really starting to look his age. He’s had six games this season in which he’s completed less than 60 percent of his passes and the lack of skill-position weapons for the Patriots may be making him look worse than he actually is.

The reason why I bring that up is head coach Bill Belichick is ruthless when it comes to cutting or moving on from players who aren’t pulling their weight, so there’s a suspicion it might not be Brady’s idea that he move on from Massachusetts.

Outside of performance, some of the lesser reasons Tom Brady might want to escape from New England could simply come down to money and geography. Brady is routinely one of the most underpaid quarterbacks in the NFL and is currently 14th among all starting quarterbacks in average annual salary.

Brady also recently put his house up for sale and is originally from California. There’s not a lot of weight to that theory but it’s not out of the realm of possibility that Brady may want to finish his career on the Left Coast, which is why the Los Angeles Chargers may be a possible destination considering their frustration with current quarterback Philip Rivers.

Even writing this, it’s hard to envision Brady in another uniform so retirement should be viewed as a real possibility at +175. That being said, the Golden Boy has reiterated in interviews that he wants to continue playing and there are three things synonymous with the New England Patriots: winning football games, head coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady. 

It’s hard to remember the NFL before they were working in harmony to ruin every bettor’s Super Bowl Futures ticket.

Who Will Tom Brady Play For in Week 1 Of The 2020 NFL Regular Season?

TeamOdds
New England Patriots-265
Retired+175
Los Angeles Chargers+375
Chicago Bears+1600
Tennessee Titans+2000

Odds as of December 11 at  Bovada


Betting on Tom Brady’s Odds

Besides betting on individual football games, you can bet on where Tom Brady will end up for the 2020 NFL season. As an elite quarterback, there is much interest on whether he’ll retire, stay with New England or move on to another team.

At the sportsbook, the odds would look something like this:

Tom Brady Odds

Patriots -210

Retire +150

Chargers +300

Bears +1200

Let’s say you believe the QB is going to call it quits. If you were to make a $50 prop bet – more on that later – and he did hang up his cleats, you would get a payout of $125 – your original $50 is returned along with your winnings of $75. Our Odds Calculator will show you what you’d collect based on the odds and amount bet.

When bookmakers create these betting lines they look at everything from New England’s chances of winning another Super Bowl, Brady’s age, his family life, net worth, overall health, and real estate news – if he sells his pad in Massachusetts and buys a home in Illinois, he may be looking at playing for a team there.

What is a Prop Bet?

A prop is a bet made on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain events that may not correlate directly to the outcome of a game. Instead of betting on the spread or taking the Patriots to win straight up, in this case, you’d be making a prop bet on Tom Brady’s odds to play in the NFL for another team, end his playing career, or stay with New England.