The playoffs are here, which of course means fewer games, but that’s a good thing for us bettors as it gives us more time to focus on a smaller slate as opposed to trying to dissect a 16-game schedule. With that said, there are no excuses not to post a perfect record this weekend and throughout the playoffs.
No one wants to hear about your bad beats either, because we’ve all had them, so stop complaining because it’s part of the betting process. Sorry if this comes off as rude – I’m just annoyed that I lost my OVER bet in last week’s Ravens-Bengals game because Cincinnati could only score three points and even threw an interception in the red zone in the second half. Unbelievable!
Anyways, there’s been a theme developing during Wild Card Weekend that strongly points toward underdogs covering the spread. They’re on a tear that’s seen them go 11-1 ATS in the last 12 wild-card games. Low-scoring games have also hijacked the opening playoff round with the UNDER hitting in 17 of the last 22 wild-card games.
This playoff round has also produced a lot of unpredictable results in recent seasons, with lots of big underdogs picking up outright wins, so tread carefully before blindly dumping the big favorites into parlays and teasers. In fact, since 2014, there have been five instances of underdogs with odds of +200 or higher winning the game.
Underdogs are 11-1 ATS in the last 12 wild-card games
Speaking of betting trends, before you dig into the numbers below, keep in mind that there will be a lot of numbers to support every team in every game throughout the playoffs. That’s what happens when the only teams remaining are the teams that are good, and in some cases great. I did, however, try to point out some strengths vs weaknesses and trends that align.
Good luck in Wild Card Weekend, aka the first step in your journey to a perfect betting record throughout the NFL playoffs where everything will work out exactly the way your know-it-all hung-over friend thinks it will. Believe in yourself!
Stats and Trends for Wild Card Weekend:
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Odds Shark Staff Wed, Aug 10, 4:35pm