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2020 Presidential Odds: Trump Leads As Impeachment Lingers

2020 Presidential Odds Trump Leads

From impeachment inquiry public hearings to the latest Democratic debate, the past week has offered political news junkies dozens of hours of must-watch television. Amid the bold-faced headlines and electric red BREAKING NEWS banners, one thing remained steady and that was President Donald Trump’s odds to win re-election.

Despite all signs pointing to his inevitable impeachment, Trump is once again a heavy favorite to win the 2020 U.S. presidential election as his odds held at +130 for a third consecutive week.

Buttigieg Cracks Top Four 2020 Presidential Favorites

It’s a different story on the other side of the aisle. Democratic favorite Elizabeth Warren saw her odds dip for the third time in four weeks, from +365 to +550 the day after the Atlanta debate. Joe Biden’s remained flat at +600, while Pete Buttigieg’s odds improved from +1000 to +750 as the South Bend mayor finally separated himself from Bernie Sanders, who sits at +900.

Please check our updated 2020 election odds tracker from BetOnline that shows how the presidential favorites’ chances to win have changed over the past month.

2020 Presidential Election Odds Tracker
CandidateOct. 22Oct. 29Nov. 5Nov. 12Nov. 21
Donald Trump+120+120+130+130+130
Elizabeth Warren+225+300+275+365+550
Joe Biden+700+600+600+600+600
Pete Buttigieg+1400+1200+1200+1000+750
Bernie Sanders+1400+1300+1200+1100+900
Andrew Yang+2000+2000+2000+2000+2200
Michael BloombergN/AN/A+10000+1500+2500
Hillary Clinton+3300+3000+2500+2800+2500
Tulsi GabbardN/A+4000+5000+7000+5000
Mike Pence+4000+4000+4000+5000+5500
Nikki Haley+4000+4500+4500+5000+6000

Odds as of November 21 at BetOnline

How to bet on the 2020 U.S. presidential election

Presidential Field Odds Update

Elizabeth Warren +550

Here’s what likely caused Senator Warren’s significant dip over the past month. She was placed on the defensive during the Columbus debate. For somebody who claims she has a plan for everything, Warren was unable to explain – at the time – how she would pay for her Medicare-for-all plan. So, a few weeks later, she announced how she would pay for her $20.5-trillion plan. It didn’t stick. On November 15, she backpedaled and embraced an approach where MFA would occur during the second half of her first term. She linked herself to plans supported by Bernie Sanders AND Joe Biden/Pete Buttigieg. If this isn’t a political two-step, I’m not sure what is.

Even by embracing a new plan, her odds tanked following the recent Atlanta debate despite speaking for the most minutes of any candidate on the stage. According to betting sites and markets we follow, her message isn’t resonating as it once did.

Pete Buttigieg +750

For the first time, Buttigieg’s odds are better than 10-to-1. While his national polling still trails Warren and Biden, the South Bend mayor has gained a ton of momentum in Iowa and New Hampshire. Plus, it’s evident that he’s gaining in popularity as his fellow candidates took some opportunities to attack him during the Atlanta debate. In order to continue his rise through the ranks, he needs to pick up support outside Iowa and New Hampshire.

Bernie Sanders +900

More than a month after suffering a heart attack, Sanders says he’s taking long walks and eating salads. There was also a clip of him shooting some hoops during a recent campaign break. While his odds did improve week over week and shot over 10-to-1 for the first time since mid-September, he remains a long-shot favorite. He doesn’t break off message and continues to rely on the support of his base as he peppers the same talking points on a regular basis. It’s hard to imagine him ever cracking the top two unless Joe Biden drops out.

Andrew Yang +2200

The 44-year-old businessman made headlines over the past few weeks as he supports legalizing marijuana and online poker. This is in addition to support of a $1,000-a-month freedom dividend and a four-day workweek. He’s going to earn a lot of votes from young voters, but his odds indicate that – snarky demeanor aside – he still has a long way to go to crack the top five presidential favorites. He did, however, have a great line toward the end of the Atlanta debate:

Kamala Harris +8000

Harris showed some fight in a debate exchange with Tulsi Gabbard but failed to move the needle during her 11 minutes and 30 seconds of talk time. The California senator’s odds to win the 2020 election were +450 back in mid-July but have dropped from 10-to-1 to now 80-to-1 in less than three months.

Amy Klobuchar +8000

The senator from Minnesota may have delivered the line of the Atlanta debate when she said, “If you don’t think a woman can beat Trump, Nancy Pelosi does it every single day,” speaking, of course, of Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi.

Klobuchar has become more visible in the last two debates, but that might not be the best thing as she visibly shakes, almost vibrates, while delivering her message to the panel and audience at home. It’s very distracting and don’t think people haven’t noticed. Check out the Google trends “Klobuchar shaking” during last night’s debate.

She hasn’t yet addressed the reason for her shakes, but she will need to if she wants to put her supporters’ minds at ease.

Hillary Clinton +2500

No update on the Clinton front, but Joe Biden hasn’t dropped out yet.

Michael Bloomberg +2500

Ahead of his pending official announcement that he is indeed running for president, the former mayor of New York City is on an apology tour of sorts. Bloomberg reversed his support of the “stop and frisk” that he once claimed helped keep NYC crime down. He has plenty of money to blow on a campaign, but if you look at the polls, support of and confidence in Bloomberg is weak.

Trump Impeachment Inquiry

Despite the high probability that Trump faces impeachment proceedings in the Senate, he remains the heavy favorite to be the Republican presidential nominee next year. Why? For one, it’s unlikely the Senate removes him from office if he is impeached. Two, the Republican party needs to appear united and stand behind their guy.

Odds Donald Trump Is Republican Nominee in 2020
OptionOdds
Yes-800
No+500

Odds as of November 21 at BetOnline

Odds to win the 2020 united states presidential election
PartyOdds
Democratic Party-115
Republican Party-115

Odds as of November 21 at BetOnline

Here are the updated odds to win the 2020 election from  BetOnline.

Odds to win the 2020 Election
OptionOdds
Donald Trump+130
Elizabeth Warren+550
Joe Biden+600
Pete Buttigieg+750
Bernie Sanders+900
Andrew Yang+2200
Michael Bloomberg+2500
Hillary Clinton+2500
Tulsi Gabbard+5000
Mike Pence+5500
Nikki Haley+6000
Kamala Harris+8000
Amy Klobuchar+8000
Cory Booker+10000

Odds as of November 21 at  BetOnline