According to the latest 2024 Republican nominee odds for president, it’s a two-horse race between former President Donald Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, but would you believe the latter garnered the more salacious September headline? Trump has some competition brewing down in the Florida swamp.
2024 Republican Nominee Odds: Trump Clinging
Only two Republican candidates enjoy better than 14-to-1 odds to earn the 2024 presidential nomination. Neither of which have formally announced they are running for office.
Former President Donald Trump’s odds to win improved somewhat since late-August up from +115 to +110, which carries an implied probability of 47.6%. Governor Ron DeSantis’ odds fell from +165 to +190 since late-August, but he’s currently focused on beating Charlie Crist in a landslide come early-November.
Only two other names enjoy odds better than 19-to-1: former Vice President Mike Pence and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley.
One must admit it quite odd that Tucker Carlson’s +3300 odds to win are in lock-step with Candace Owens and Ted Cruz especially after the controversial interview with Republican dark-horse candidate Kanye West who is +15000 to earn the nomination.
Trump is also favored in the U.S. presidential odds.
2024 Republican Nominee Odds
|Donald Trump Sr.||+110||+400|
|Donald Trump Jr.||+5000||+2500|
Odds as of October 13 at Sportsbook
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2024 Republican Nominee Odds: DeSantis’ Political Pawns
In an effort to draw attention to what some believe is an out-of-control border policy, Governor DeSantis made the executive decision to place dozens of illegal immigrants on two planes before sending them off to Martha’s Vineyard. Massachusetts is a “sanctuary state” and according to his communications director “will better facilitate the care of these individuals.” DeSantis later took full credit for the political chess move to look tough on immigration.
“We are not a sanctuary state,” DeSantis said of Florida. “And it’s better to be able to go to a sanctuary jurisdiction, and yes, we will help facilitate that transport for you to be able to go to greener pastures,” DeSantis said on Thursday, a day after claiming credit for sending the two planes to the island. “Every community in America should be sharing in the burdens. It shouldn’t all fall on a handful of red states.”
Shortly after this, DeSantis’ state was hammered by Hurricane Ian, which decimated a large swatch of the Gulf coast. As President Trump continues to navigate a murky future in which the justice department still might press charges on him for inciting the events of January 6th, DeSantis is about to cruise to an easy re-election as Florida’s governor, which should allow him more time to strategize for what’s next and if that includes a run in 2024.
2024 Republican Nominee Odds: What is Mike Pence Up To?
Since leaving office in January of 2020, former Vice President Mike Pence has remained out of the media spotlight for the most part. Sure, he’s given a speech here, made public comments there, but at this juncture, what is he up to?
For starters, he and President Trump are far from aligned on the direction of the Republican Party in 2024 and beyond. Whether you want to believe it or not or parse the day’s events, due to Trump’s actions on January 6, Pence’s life was threatened. So, that’s strike one.
Pence has also backed different candidates than his former boss. Earlier this year, he campaigned in favor of Governor Brian Kemp in Georgia, while Trump backed David Perdue. Kemp won the primary and nomination. Later, Pence backed Karrin Taylor Robson for Arizona Governor, while Trump backed Kari Lake who also believes the 2020 election was stolen.
Pence has been hosting fundraiser and building a campaign war chest in recent months, but is probably waiting for the midterm elections to run their course before announcing anything.
At 14-to-1 odds to earn the nomination, he’s got a ways to go and with most candidates shouting louder than the next these days, Pence’s quiet persona might need some work if he wants to become the 47th President of the United States.