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Democratic Nomination Odds: Biden And Harris To Be On The Ballot

A major shift in the betting odds for the Democratic presidential nomination in early March saw Joe Biden overtake then-favorite Bernie Sanders and never look back. The former vice-president will be the man on the ballot for the Democrats and he will be accompanied by California Senator Kamala Harris, selected in mid-August to be his running mate.

When it comes to the overall odds to win the 2020 presidential election, Biden also has the edge at -145 over current POTUS Donald Trump (+125), though that line has tightened from Biden being the -170 favorite in late July.

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Check out the updated odds to win the Democratic presidential nomination at Bovada:

Odds To Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination
CandidateCurrentJuly 20July 2June 28June 2May 29May 25May 21May 11Apr 27Apr 23Apr 14Apr 9Apr 8Apr 3Apr 2Mar 31Mar 27Mar 18Mar 15Mar 11Mar 9Mar 5Mar 3Mar 2Mar 1Feb 25Feb 23Feb 21Feb 12Feb 5Jan 29Jan 21Jan 13Jan 2Opening
Joe BidenN/A-2500-2000-1600-1000-800-800-700-600-1200-1200-1000-1600-700-600-450-450-600-1600-1000-4000-800-500-115+190+240+1000+1000+800+1000+450+185+160+225+200+200
Hillary ClintonN/A+1600+1600+1400+800+750+750+750+700+1800+2000+1600+2500+1600+2000+2000+2000+1500+1000+1400+2000+2000+1800+3000+2000+3000+2800+2500+2000+2000+2000+2000+2000+2000+1600+4000
Andrew CuomoN/A+2800+2500+2500+2800+2000+1800+1800+1800+1400+1400+1000+2200+1200+1000+700+750+1000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000
Michelle ObamaN/A+2500+2200+2000+2800+3300+3300+3300+3300+4000+4000+4000+4000+4000+4500+5000+5000+4000+5000+4000+5000+5000+8000+10000N/AN/A+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000+8000+10000N/A+8000
Bernie SandersN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1600+1200+1000+1000+1500+2500+1500+2000+650+450+150-110-115-130-120EVEN+110+150+160+160+215+350+450
Tulsi GabbardN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+20000+20000+20000+50000+50000+50000+50000+25000+15000+20000+20000+15000+10000+10000N/A+3000
Michael BloombergN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1200+600+600+400+325+400+250+350+500+700+650+450N/A
Pete ButtigiegN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+3500+1100+900+600+500+450+1400+900+1000+600+450
Elizabeth WarrenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+5000+8000+5000+2000+2500+1200+1500+700+650+450+700
Amy KlobucharN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+15000+10000+4000+1500+6600+4000+5000+3300+3000+4000
Tom SteyerN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+25000+10000+15000+15000+10000+12500+12500+12500+10000
Deval PatrickN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+10000+15000+25000+20000+20000+15000+8000N/A

Odds as of August 10 at Bovada

Confused about the odds?

Check out our How to Bet on Politics article for some tips on how to read and interpret political betting information.

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Sanders Suspends Campaign

After winning just seven of the 26 states that held their primaries in March, Bernie Sanders decided to suspend his campaign and the odds suggested that was the right move. The Vermont senator entered March as the betting favorite to be the Democratic nominee at -115, just shy of his lowest odds of -130 on February 25. His opening odds of +450 put him second on the oddsboard behind Joe Biden.

Following the results of Super Tuesday and the mini-Super Tuesdays throughout March, Sanders’ odds skyrocketed as high as +2500 on March 18, behind even Hillary Clinton (+1000), who was not even in the race.

On April 8, Bernie’s odds had stabilized at +1600, tied with Clinton for third on the list behind Biden and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. Before the vote in the Wisconsin primary came out, Sanders dropped out of the race and he did end up losing that state so it was unlikely he would make up enough ground to catch Biden. Most recently, Sanders has endorsed Biden to be the next POTUS.

Biden Campaign Trail Missteps

At the very top of Biden’s campaign to-do list over the next few months is to avoid viral moments like this:

Whereas President Trump utters cringe-worthy and controversial phrases on what seems like a daily basis, Biden’s in-your-face personal engagements observed here and in the past, like when he challenged an Iowa voter to a push-up contest, are perceived as more intense than Trump’s broad-brush, both-sides-of-his-mouth commentary that is often categorized as misunderstood.

In other words, if Biden wants to match Trump in the tough-guy, tough-talk approach during debates and on the campaign trail, he needs to recalibrate the optics.