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Odds President Trump is Impeached

Odds President Donald Trump is impeached

The Democrat-controlled House of Representatives voted in favor of an impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump late last week. The vote was split down party lines with no Republicans voting in favor of the inquiry. The inquiry was officially opened back in late September, but most interviews, meetings and testimonies to date were held behind closed doors. This vote formalized the proceedings moving forward, which will allow for more transparency. The public (and White House) will now get to read transcripts of previous witness interviews and testimonies, while public hearings are expected to be conducted well into the new year.

Will Trump be Impeached during His First Term?
WinnerSept. 29Oct. 23Oct. 29Nov. 5
Yes+125-180-170OTB
No-155+135+130OTB

Odds as of November 5 at Bovada

With the vote, the likelihood that Trump faces impeachment increases dramatically, especially since the House has the votes to advance it to a Senate hearing. So, odds that Trump is impeached are off the board for the time being. If you’re holding a “Yes, Trump will be impeached” ticket, you’re in great shape right now.

According to reports, 19 percent of the public supported President Richard Nixon’s impeachment and 33 percent supported President Bill Clinton’s after observing public proceedings. There hasn’t been one public proceeding for Trump and according to a new poll, 49 percent of the public supports impeachment. Again, take political polls with a boulder-sized grain of salt as necessary.

Impeachment Inquiry 101

In case you’re reading this for the first time or are unfamiliar with United States government, if Trump is impeached, he’ll face a Senate trial. The members of the Senate will vote on whether to remove the president from office, with the vote requiring a two-thirds majority. We’re not there yet, but with the House Judiciary Committee questioning witnesses on a regular basis, once their impeachment inquiry wraps, it’s more than likely Trump will, indeed, be impeached before the 2020 election.

The basis of the impeachment inquiry is that, according to a whistleblower’s report, Trump engaged in a quid pro quo where he would withhold foreign aid to Ukraine unless their government investigated alleged corruption tied to his political rivals, including Democratic candidate and former vice-president Joe Biden. There were also concerns tied to 2016 election interference.