Amanda Nunes is favored over Irene Aldana at UFC 289

Nunes vs Aldana Odds & Pick: Will The Lioness Remain Champ At UFC 289?

The UFC makes its return to Canada for UFC 289, headlined by a women's bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes and Irene Aldana.

Beneil Dariush and Charles Oliveira will fight in the co-main event.

The five-round championship bout takes place June 10 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver. The UFC 289 prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, with the main card scheduled to begin at 10 p.m.

The UFC 289 odds are skewed with Nunes as a -330 favorite over Aldana (+265).

UFC 289 odds: Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana

Nunes vs Aldana Odds
Amanda Nunes-330
Irene Aldana+265

Odds as of June 5

According to our odds calculator, Nunes' -330 odds translate to a 76.74% implied chance of victory and a $100 bet pays out $130.30. Aldana's +265 odds give her a 27.40% chance to win and a $100 bet pays out $365. 

How To Watch UFC 289: Nunes vs Aldana

Here's how to watch this pay-per-view showcase.

  • Date/Time: June 10, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
  • Arena: Rogers Arena
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV

UFC 289: Nunes vs Aldana Full Card & Betting Odds

Here's Saturday's lineup for UFC 289.

UFC 289: Nunes vs Aldana Fight Card Odds
  • Main Card
  • Women's Bantamweight Title Fight – Amanda Nunes (-330) vs Irene Aldana (+265)
  • Lightweight – Beneil Dariush (-150) vs Charles Oliveira (+125)
  • Welterweight – Mike Malott (-220) vs Adam Fugitt (+175)
  • Featherweight – Dan Ige (-275) vs Nate Landwehr (+220)
  • Middleweight – Eryk Anders (+115) vs Marc-Andre Barriault (-140)
  • Prelims
  • Middleweight – Nassourdine Imavov (-165) vs Chris Curtis (+136)
  • Women's Flyweight – Jasmine Jasudavicius (+210) vs Miranda Maverick (-260)
  • Bantamweight – Aiemann Zahabi (EVEN) vs Aori Qileng (-120)
  • Featherweight – Blake Bilder (-260) vs Kyle Nelson (+212)
  • Flywweight – David Dvorak (-275) vs Steve Erceg (+220)
  • Women's Strawweight – Diana Belbita (-125) vs Maria Oliveira (+105)

Odds as of June 10

Nunes vs Aldana Tale Of The Tape

FighterAmanda NunesIrene Aldana
Record22-5 (15-2 UFC)14-6 (7-4 UFC)
Avg. Fight Time9:5813:39
Sig. Strikes Per Minute4.405.39
Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute2.755.71
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes2.610.20
Takedown Accuracy56%50%
Takedown Defense82%81%

Nunes vs Aldana Preview: Who will be the Women's Bantamweight Champion?

And still? And new?

How Aldana Wins

We've already seen one Mexican upset when Alexa Grasso shocked the world at UFC 285 with a stunning submission win over Valentina Shevchenko. Could Aldana be the next female fighter from south of the border to secure a dramatic championship victory?

If Aldana wants to win, she'll need to stay active. Her upright, tight stance makes her a ferocious boxer, and she's also quite versed in takedown defense. But Nunes, depending on how healthy she looks, is a different breed. "The Lioness" has the strength and savvy to work around Aldana's guard and hammer her. 

Aldana is aggressive but also takes a ton of damage. Her best bet is to tag Nunes as hard as she can early in this fight. 

How Nunes Wins

After gassing out in her first showdown vs Julianna Pena, Nunes showed great cardio in the rematch at UFC 277. The Brazilian showed up in better shape and used her well-rounded skillset to cruise to victory.

Watch for Nunes to use a similar, but perhaps more cautious strategy vs Aldana at UFC 289. The 35-year-old can attack Aldana with low kicks and then mix in a level-change to keep things honest.

Nunes is the better fighter, but she can't let off the gas. When Aldana advances, she needs to trade back and use those big hooks. Mexican fighters, by nature, are relentless, so Aldana will never be out of this bout.

Nunes vs Aldana Pick

Aldana has never been KO'd in 11 UFC fights. Nunes is still strong, but at this stage in her career, I don't think she's got enough juice. 

That said, with the wrestling advantage in The Lioness' favor, I'll take Nunes to win by decision and this bout to go the distance. 

Pick: Nunes to win by decision (+300); Fight goes the distance (+180)

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