Justin Gaethje hehe

Holloway vs Gaethje Odds & Picks: Who Is The Baddest?

Justin Gaethje, the -155 favorite, will defend his BMF Title vs Max Holloway, a +130 underdog, on April 13 at T-Mobile Arena. The fight is scheduled for five rounds at lightweight.

UFC 300 has many stellar fights. The theme of this one? Violence.

Holloway vs Gaethje Betting Odds

Holloway vs Gaethje Odds
Max Holloway+130
Justin Gaethje-155

Odds as of April 13

Our odds calculator suggests Gaethje's -155 awards him a 60.78% implied chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $164.52. At +130, Holloway gets a 43.48% chance and a $100 bet cashes $230. 

If these odds hold, Holloway's +130 underdog status will mark his steepest line since his +250 odds vs Conor McGregor in 2013.

How To Watch UFC 300

  • Date/Time: April 13, 6 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: T-Mobile Arena
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV

How To Bet Holloway vs Gaethje

Max and Justin will go to war for this bout. Both fighters are UFC veterans with differing reputations — Gaethje is power, while Holloway is output — but neither guy is satisfied until he crushes his opponent.

Somehow Gaethje and Holloway have never crossed paths before. I expect each fighter to take some time in the early rounds feeling each other out. Gaethje will unload his classic low kicks while Holloway fires up the jab. I don't anticipate the ground game being a factor in this bout.

Holloway is elite when it comes to strike differential. He's fantastic at evading damage, whereas Gaethje soaks the hits and keeps coming. In an early stoppage, I'm favoring Gaethje. Anything longer than two rounds goes to Max. 

Holloway vs Gaethje Pick

Perhaps this line will adjust closer to UFC 300. In the meantime, I'm taking Holloway as the underdog. Gaethje is a human atom bomb, but he takes way too much damage.

Holloway is always a clinical boxer. I like the Hawaii native to win and the bout to go OVER 3.5 rounds.

Pick: Holloway to win (+150); OVER 3.5 rounds (-165)

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