For the second fight card in as many weeks, we have a women’s fight as the main event. This week, featherweights Aspen Ladd and Norma Dumont collide with the Sportsbook likely earning a featherweight title shot against Amanda Nunes.
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs Dumont takes place on Saturday, October 16, at the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas. When it comes to the Ladd vs Dumont odds in the main event, it is Aspen who is the betting favorite.
This is Ladd’s featherweight debut after she had difficulties on the scale at bantamweight. Aspen nearly fainted on the scale before she fought Germaine de Randamie and was pulled from her most recent bout three weeks ago due to a poor weight cut.
Following a defeat in her UFC debut, Dumont is coming off back-to-back decision wins, aligning her nicely for a featherweight title shot with the aforementioned Nunes.
Ladd vs Dumont Odds
Online sportsbook [Sportsbook not available for your region] has listed Ladd vs Dumont odds with Aspen set as the -130 favorite and Norma the +110 underdog. These UFC betting odds mean that if you placed a $130 bet on Ladd, you would profit $100, while a $100 wager on Dumont would net you $110.
Our sports betting calculator illustrates the odds in a different way. Ladd’s -130 betting line represents an implied win probability of 56.52 percent while Dumont has an implied win probability of 47.62 percent.
If you’re looking to wager on the biggest underdog of the card, you’ll be looking at Nate Landwehr (+300) as he fights Ludovit Klein (-400) in the prelims. If you want to try your hand in the fight with the closest odds, look no further than the heavyweight co-main event as Andrei Arlovski and Carlos Felipe are set as a pick'em with both men holding -110 odds.
Ladd vs Dumont Betting Odds & Fight Card
- Main Card
- Women’s Featherweight – Aspen Ladd (-130) vs Norma Dumont (+110)
- Heavyweight – Andrei Arlovski (-110) vs Carlos Felipe (-110)
- Lightweight – Jim Miller (-250) vs Erick Gonzalez (+200)
- Women’s Flyweight – Manon Fiorot (-300) vs Mayra Bueno Silva (+235)
- Prelims
- Middleweight – Andrew Sanchez (+130) vs Bruno Silva (-160)
- Welterweight – Danny Roberts (+285) vs Ramazan Emeev (-375)
- Women’s Flyweight – Loopy Godinez (-230) vs Luana Carolina (+185)
- Featherweight – Nate Landwehr (+300) vs Ludovit Klein (-400)
- Bantamweight – Danaa Batgerel (-160) vs Brandon Davis (+130)
- Women’s Strawweight – Istela Nunes (+115) vs Ariane Carnelossi (-140)
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If you’re prepared to get in on the action for this weekend’s card, check out our How to Bet UFC page to help you place your wager. Also, if you’re looking for where to bet, our sportsbook review page has broken down the best online books to make your choice easier. You can find all of the UFC fight news here at Odds Shark.
- Date/Time: October 16, 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: UFC Apex
- Where to Watch: ESPN+
Aspen Ladd vs Norma Dumont Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Aspen Ladd | -130 |
| Norma Dumont | +110 |
Aspen Ladd (-130) was on the cusp of a bantamweight title shot before getting knocked out by Germaine de Randamie in 2019, and has been sidelined for nearly two years due to injuries. Meanwhile, Norma “The Immortal” Dumont (+110) seems to be hitting her stride after scoring a decision win over former featherweight title challenger Felicia Spencer in May.
- Ladd did rebound from that loss to de Randamie with a win over Yana Kunitskaya and she now looks to pave a new future at featherweight. Her record stands at 9-1 with seven stoppages, six by knockout.
- The day before that loss to the former featherweight champion, Ladd struggled to make weight; she nearly had to be held up when she stood on the scale. Perhaps that impacted her performance the next day when she was knocked out in 16 seconds, or perhaps she was simply outmatched.
- She is well-rounded, averaging 2.45 takedowns per 15 minutes, while in the striking department she averages 5.22 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 4.84. Ladd’s nearly two-year layoff is a result of serious knee injuries.
- Ladd’s last three fights were Sijara Eubanks (win – unanimous decision), Germaine de Randamie (loss – knockout) and Yana Kunitskaya (win – knockout).
- Dumont had a perfect record prior to making her UFC debut, which resulted in her first professional loss. She now carries a 6-1 record with that one defeat being a knockout, while four of her wins have been decisions.
- The Immortal has good grappling skills, securing at least one takedown in each of her three UFC bouts and averaging 1.79 per 15 minutes. Additionally, she averages 4.98 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.86.
- She’s fleet afoot and is constantly bouncing on the balls of her feet. When rushed, she has very little head movement and tries to counter, which can open her up for punches over the top. Her striking as a whole is fast and with good pop, but much of it is defensive in looking to counter and the lack of head movement can put her at a disadvantage.
- Dumont’s last three fights were Megan Anderson (loss – knockout), Ashlee Evans-Smith (win – unanimous decision) and Felicia Spencer (win – split decision).
Prediction: Norma Dumont (+110) via decision
Andrei Arlovski vs Carlos Felipe Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Andrei Arlovski | -110 |
| Carlos Felipe | -110 |
Looking to extend his three-fight winning streak and perhaps pick up his first stoppage win in the UFC is Carlos “Boi” Felipe (-110). He will look to do so against former heavyweight champion Andrei “The Pitbull” Arlovski (-110), who is on a nice run having won three of his last four.
- It has been a wild run for Arlovski, who made his UFC debut at UFC 28 in 2000. This is his 36th walk to the Octagon and his overall record is 31-20 with two no contests. He has 17 knockout wins and has lost 11 bouts in the same manner.
- Don’t expect The Pitbull to be looking for many takedowns; he is averaging just 0.45 takedowns per 15 minutes and hasn’t secured one in over three years. He’d much rather keep it on the feet, where he averages 3.62 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.95.
- The former champion (in 2005) doesn’t have the big power he used to, rather beating his opponents with volume – he landed 100 significant strikes in his last bout. Arlovski moves well but doesn’t have a ton of head movement and tends to enter the pocket with his hands low and throwing combinations.
- Arlovski’s last three fights were Tanner Boser (win – unanimous decision), Tom Aspinall (loss – submission) and Chase Sherman (win – unanimous decision).
- Felipe’s UFC career didn’t get off to a great start as he lost a majority decision for his first and only pro defeat. He carries an 11-1 record into this bout with six knockout victories.
- Like Arlovski, I wouldn’t predict many takedown attempts from Boi, who has not secured one over four UFC bouts. On the feet, he averages 4.88 significant strikes per minute but also absorbs 5.62 and has been outstruck in three of his four UFC fights.
- Carlos has a little bit of the Diaz brothers in him, often dropping his hands and shrugging off his opponents’ strikes. He has good conditioning and is willing to stand in the pocket for much of the fight. He tends to load up on his big right hand, which has good speed, but he relies too heavily on it and then becomes predictable.
- Felipe’s last three fights were Yorgan De Castro (win – unanimous decision), Justin Tafa (win – split decision) and Jake Collier (win – split decision).
Prediction: Carlos Felipe (-120) via decision
Jim Miller vs Erick Gonzalez Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jim Miller | -250 |
| Erick Gonzalez | +200 |
Set to once again hold the record for most UFC fights is Jim “A-10” Miller (-250), who makes his 38th walk to the Octagon on Saturday. In contrast, Erick “The Ghost Pepper” Gonzalez (+200) is making his UFC debut.
- A staple in the UFC since he made his debut at UFC 89 in 2008, Miller has had his ups and downs and has dropped three of his last four. Overall, he’s 32-16 with one no contest. Eighteen of his wins have come by submission and 11 of his defeats are by decision.
- Evident in his record, it’s clear that A-10 likes to get the fight to the floor so that he can utilize his exceptional jiu-jitsu skills. The southpaw averages 1.63 takedowns per 15 minutes.
- He’s no slouch on the feet, though, constantly marching forward and willing to fire big shots at his foes, forcing a clinch and then slipping into the grappling realm. I’d like to see him throw more straight punches rather than be hook-heavy.
- Miller’s last three fights were Roosevelt Roberts (win – submission), Vinc Pichel (loss – unanimous decision) and Joe Solecki (loss – unanimous decision).
- As mentioned, this is Gonzalez’s UFC debut and with that, he’s searching for his first three-fight winning streak in over five years. He holds a 14-5 record with eight knockout wins and two submission losses.
- The Ghost Pepper is a lengthy lightweight with a 74-inch reach, giving him a three-inch advantage over Miller. He has a nice stabbing jab that has some power behind it and will typically follow up with a straight right, which he at times overextends, putting himself off-balance.
- One of the striking tools he uses frequently is his lead elbow, which he will usually follow with a knee to the body. Gonzalez has great conditioning as well and seems to always be throwing strikes.
- Gonzalez’s last three fights were Humberto Bandenay (loss – unanimous decision), Oziel Rodriguez Lopez (win – knockout) and Samuel Alvarez (win – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Erick Gonzalez (+200) via decision
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Manon Fiorot vs Mayra Bueno Silva Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | -300 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | +235 |
A winning streak will be put on the line as Manon “The Beast” Fiorot (-300) looks for her eighth straight victory in this fight. Fiorot will look to hand Mayra “Sheetara” Bueno Silva (+235) her second loss in the UFC, though she’s unbeaten in her last two.
- Fiorot received a wake-up call in her pro debut, losing a split decision, but she has been victorious in every fight since. Her record is 7-1 with six knockouts.
- The Beast has run through her first two UFC opponents, scoring second-round knockouts in each while outstriking her foes by a combined 137-34. She is averaging 8.00 significant strikes per minute and absorbing just 1.98 while also adding in 1.75 takedowns per 15 minutes.
- She’s very aggressive, constantly moving forward throwing kicks from long distance before stepping in with powerful straight punches. The southpaw does a great job working off her jab, which she throws frequently.
- Fiorot’s last three fights were Gabriela Campos (win – knockout), Victoria Leonardo (win – knockout) and Tabatha Ricci (win – knockout).
- Bueno Silva made her way to the UFC with a ninja choke submission in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series Brazil back in 2018. She holds a 7-1-1 record with five submissions and her lone defeat came by decision in 2020.
- Evident by the five submissions on her record, Sheetara has fantastic jiu-jitsu skills. That said, she hasn’t landed a single takedown in her four UFC bouts and has been taken down seven times herself in those bouts.
- She fights very well in tight with her strong Muay Thai base, crafted at the famous Chute Boxe gyms in Brazil. Bueno Silva tends to walk forward without throwing a strike, which can result in her walking into a strike, and she doesn’t have tremendous hand speed.
- Bueno Silva’s last three fights were Maryna Moroz (loss – unanimous decision), Mara Romero Borella (win – submission) and Montana De La Rosa (majority draw).
Prediction: Manon Fiorot (-300) via knockout
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs Dumont Best Bets
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Women’s Featherweight – Norma Dumont | +110 |
| Heavyweight – Carlos Felipe | -110 |
| Lightweight – Erick Gonzalez | +200 |
| Women’s Flyweight – Manon Fiorot | -300 |
