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Smith vs Clark Odds & Expert Predictions: Smith, Clark Late-Notice Main Event

The light heavyweight division will be featured in this week’s UFC card with veteran Anthony Smith and rising prospect Devin Clark settling their differences in a three-round main event. UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark takes place this Saturday, November 28, at the UFC Apex Performance Center in Las Vegas.

In Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark odds, Smith is the slight favorite with Clark being listed as the underdog. We have the full UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark odds as well as a preview and best bets below.

Smith and Clark were bumped up to the main event after the Curtis Blaydes-Derrick Lewis headline act was called off Friday.

After fighting Jon Jones for the light heavyweight title almost two years ago, Smith has struggled to find victories since, going 1-3, but he hopes a win over Clark will get him back on track. 

Meanwhile, after a two-year stint in which Clark went 3-3 in a win-one, lose-one streak, he finds himself on a two-fight winning streak ready to make his move in the light heavyweight division.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released the UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark betting odds and has listed Smith as the -140 favorite with Clark coming back as the +110 underdog. This means you would have to wager $140 to profit $100 with a Smith win, while if you bet $100 for a Clark win, you would profit $110.

According to our sports betting calculator, Smith’s odds of -140 have an implied win probability of 58.3 percent, while Clark’s odds of +105 have an implied win probability of 47.6 percent.

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UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark Odds

  • Light Heavyweight – Anthony Smith (-140) vs Devin Clark (+110)
  • Heavyweight – Josh Parisian (-205) vs Parker Porter (+165)
  • Welterweight – Miguel Baeza (-200) vs Takashi Sato (+160)
  • Featherweight – Spike Carlyle (-185) vs Bill Algeo (+150)
  • Prelims
  • Women’s Bantamweight – Ashlee Evans-Smith (-150) vs Norma Dumont (+120)
  • Bantamweight – Martin Day (-170) vs Anderson dos Santos (+140)
  • Women’s Flyweight – Gina Mazany (-205) vs Rachael Ostovich (+165)
  • Lightweight – Kai Kamaka (-315) vs Jonathan Pearce (+245)
  • Flyweight – Su Mudaerji (-350) vs Malcolm Gordon (+265)
  • Catchweight – Luke Sanders (-160) vs Nathan Maness (+130)

New to betting on the fights? Check out our UFC betting guide to help you get in the action. Also, be sure to keep an eye on our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

UFC Vegas 15: Smith vs Clark Broadcast Information

  • Date/Time: November 28, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex Performance Center
  • Where to Watch: ESPN 2, ESPN+

Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark Betting Odds

FighterOdds
Anthony Smith-140
Devin Clark+110

The always-game Anthony “Lionheart” Smith (-140) returns to the Octagon for the third time in 2020 but is searching for his first win since June 2019. Looking to pile on another loss is Devin “Brown Bear” Clark (+110), who has already scored two wins in 2020 and a win over Lionheart would put him in a great position to move up the light heavyweight rankings in 2021.


Smith: Need to Knows
  • Smith had a good run when he jumped up to light heavyweight from middleweight, scoring three straight finishes over Rashad Evans, Shogun Rua and Volkan Oezdemir. Since then, he is just 1-3 with losses to Jon Jones, Glover Teixeira and Aleksandar Rakic.
  • Lionheart is a tough fighter, rarely backing away from his opponents, rather looking to get into a good old-fashioned brawl. He is nasty in tight range with sharp elbows and powerful knees and he’s a guy who will never give up.
  • He is dangerous on the floor as well with 12 submission victories to his name to go along with 18 knockout wins. With his fighting style, though, he does tend to absorb a ton of damage.
  • Smith’s last three fights were Alexander Gustafsson (win – submission), Glover Teixeira (loss – knockout) and Aleksandar Rakic (loss – unanimous decision).


Clark: Need to Knows
  • A very active fighter over the last few years, Clark is making his 11th Octagon appearance since 2016. He holds a 6-4 record over those 10 fights with no winning or losing streak of more than two fights. Prior to the UFC, he was 6-0.
  • If you’re making a wager on Brown Bear, “fight to go the distance” may be your best choice as eight of his 12 pro wins have been by decision. He has good kicks and always has big movements, rushing in with big strikes, though they’re perhaps a little sloppy.
  • He does his best work in the clinch and in grappling exchanges, where he averages 2.76 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • Clark’s last three fights were Ryan Spann (loss – submission), Dequan Townsend (win – unanimous decision) and Alonzo Menifield (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Anthony Smith (-140) via knockout

Josh Parisian vs Parker Porter Betting Odds

FighterOdds
Josh Parisian-205
Parker Porter+165

After earning a UFC contract in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series in August, Josh Parisian (-205) is ready to make his Octagon debut and extend his six-fight winning streak. Parker Porter (+165) made his UFC debut in August and it didn’t go as planned when he suffered a first-round knockout loss, but he looks to get back on track in this bout.


Parisian: Need to Knows
  • Not only is Parisian on a six-fight winning streak, but all six of those wins were knockouts. Furthermore, 10 of his 13 pro wins have come by knockout.
  • For a big heavyweight, he has very good kicks, which he will use early and often to slow his opponents’ movements, giving him a bigger opportunity to let his heavy hands go. When he punches, it’s much like any other heavyweight with loopy overhand power punches, but when they land, the night is short.
  • Defensively, Parisian typically just keeps his hands high and backs up hoping his opponents will punch themselves out or just back off to get into more of a striking range.
  • Parisian’s last three fights were Matunga Djikasa (win – knockout), Marcus Maulding (win – knockout) and Chad Johnson (win – knockout).


Porter: Need to Knows
  • Porter has struggled his entire career to find his footing, never having a streak of wins or losses of more than two in a row. He made his UFC debut in August after back-to-back wins but lost via first-round knockout.
  • He has a good jab on the feet, and I really like how he steps through with that punch; if he lands clean, he can follow up with a powerful right or simply use the jab to close distance. He has a bad tendency to rush in at times and leaves his punches long, making him vulnerable to counters.
  • He is willing to absorb punches and kicks to get the opportunity to throw his long combinations, which do have some power behind them. He becomes more dangerous when he closes distance as he has four submission wins.
  • Porter’s last three fights were Kevin Ray Sears (win – submission), Dirlei Broenstrup (win – knockout) and Chris Daukaus (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Josh Parisian (-205) via knockout

Miguel Baeza vs Takashi Sato Betting Odds

FighterOdds
Miguel Baeza-200
Takashi Sato+160

Undefeated welterweight Miguel “Caramel Thunder” Baeza (-200) looks to continue climbing through the UFC ranks and remain perfect. To do so, though, he will have to get past Takashi “Ten” Sato (+160), who is coming off a first-round knockout over Jason Witt in June.


Baeza: Need to Knows
  • After getting outstruck in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series, Baeza hasn’t let that happen in his two bouts in the Octagon. In those three fights, he has knocked his opponents down five times, including two knockout wins.
  • Of Baeza’s perfect 9-0 record, seven wins have come by knockout, with two decision victories. Caramel Thunder has really good footwork and is extremely light on his feet. He does a great job sticking when his opponents engage with him, while battering them with leg kicks at longer range.
  • He can be caught with quick lead jabs or if he is pressured, but for his opponents to do so, there’s a good chance he’s going to meet them with a powerful straight punch on the entry.
  • Baeza’s last three fights were Victor Reyna (win – unanimous decision), Hector Aldana (win – knockout) and Matt Brown (win – knockout).


Sato: Need to Knows
  • Sato is 16-3 overall with 13 of his 16 wins being finishes. He’s 2-1 in the UFC, only falling to Belal Muhammad.
  • He has a good lead jab, followed by decent leg kicks, that he uses to try to entice his opponents to attack so he can counter. Ten does a good job closing distance quickly and is light on his fight when he goes on the attack.
  • Defensively, Sato tends to absorb punishment and relies on his chin, having only been knocked out once. When he gets pressured, he doesn’t use much head movement nor does he bring his hands up to defend.
  • Sato’s last three fights were Ben Saunders (win – knockout), Belal Muhammad (loss – submission) and Jason Witt (win – knockout).

Prediction: Miguel Baeza (-200) via knockout

Spike Carlyle vs Bill Algeo Betting Odds

FighterOdds
Spike Carlyle-185
Bill Algeo+150

Two featherweights looking to get back in the win column after suffering a defeat their last time out will kick off the main card. Spike “Alpha Ginger” Carlyle (-185) burst into the UFC with a first-round knockout of Aalon Cruz in February but took a decision loss to Billy Quarantillo in May. Meanwhile, Bill “Senor Perfecto” Algeo (+150) aims to get his first UFC win after losing his debut to Ricardo Lamas in August.


Carlyle: Need to Knows
  • Carlyle’s loss in May snapped a five-fight winning streak that included four finishes. The defeat was just the second of his 11-fight career.
  • He is a wild fighter with a lot of aggression, willing to slug it out on the feet or battle on the floor. On the floor, he rains down ground and pound, softening up his counterparts while looking for a submission or the knockout from strikes.
  • In striking range, he has good kicks and uses lead elbows to keep his opponents off-balance. Additionally, he has great conditioning, always looking to push the pace on his foes even when he’s dog-tired as well.
  • Carlyle’s last three fights were Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (win – knockout), Aalon Cruz (win – knockout) and Billy Quarantillo (loss – unanimous decision).


Algeo: Need to Knows
  • Algeo had a shot at earning a UFC contract in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series in 2019 but lost via unanimous decision, though he is still in the Octagon.
  • Senor Perfecto keeps his hands at his waist and has quick snappy jabs. He also does a good job throwing combinations while closing the distance with his footwork. He seems to be a little lost when his opponents pressure him with strikes, unlike the regional circuit where he’s the one always leading the dance.
  • His tempo tends to slow after he takes a few strikes. As well, Algeo’s strikes are long, which can open up areas for opponents to dip under for a body lock takedown, something Carlyle employs frequently.
  • Algeo’s last three fights were Brendan Loughnane (loss – unanimous decision), Tim Dooling (win – unanimous decision) and Ricardo Lamas (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Spike Carlyle (-185) via knockout

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark Odds & Best Bets

FighterOdds
Light Heavyweight – Anthony Smith-135
Heavyweight – Josh Parisian-210
Welterweight – Miguel Baeza-170
Featherweight – Spike Carlyle-185