Brendan Allen is favored vs Paul Craig

Allen vs Curtis Odds & Picks: Action Man A Live Underdog

Brendan Allen is a -200 favorite over Chris Curtis (+170) in Saturday's UFC Fight Night main event. This middleweight brawl at the Apex marks the final event before UFC 300

"All In" Allen is on a six-fight win streak since Curtis knocked him out in 2021. Now, the 28-year-old seeks revenge.

Brendan Allen vs Chris Curtis Odds

Allen vs Curtis Odds
Brendan Allen-200
Chris Curtis+170

Odds as of April 2

Our odds calculator suggests Allen's -200 odds equate to an implied win probability of 66.67%, meaning a $100 bet on him pays out $150. Curtis' +170 underdog odds imply a 37.04% chance to win, and a $100 bet on him pays out $270. 

Allen vs Curtis Betting Predictions

In my opinion, the Allen vs Curtis odds should be steeper in Brendan's favor. 

How To Bet Allen vs Curtis Odds

In their first meeting in 2021, Allen went after Curtis in the clinch and attempted to climb onto his back, but never got anything going. Allen used strong knees, but "Action Man" had him moving backward for most of the first round.

That's where Curtis thrives. He takes a ton of damage, relying on his strong chin and 92% takedown defense to hold up while he grinds his opponent down. For Allen to win, he needs this bout on the mat.

Look for Allen to use his striking to set up some grappling action, either through a traditional single-leg takedown or a drop into a leg-lock, which he used in his first bout vs Curtis.

Allen vs Curtis Picks

Again, this is where I wish the public backed Allen harder because Curtis is a live 'dog, and he's worth a value bet. 

Curtis is difficult to finish, and he rarely yields vulnerable grappling positions. That means this bout will be decided on the feet, and that's no way for a submission enthusiast such as Allen to live.

At the current odds, I'll take Curtis to win.

Pick: Curtis (+170); OVER 2.5 rounds (-155)

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