Rafael Fiziev is favored vs Mateusz Gamrot

Fiziev vs Gamrot Odds & Picks: Two Lean, Muscle Machines Set To Brawl

UFC continues with its schedule this Saturday when Mateusz Gamrot and Rafael Fiziev fight in a fiery lightweight main event. 

This Fight Night showdown will tighten the top-five rankings for potential future title bouts. The card takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, with prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET. Bryce Mitchell and Dan Ige will get the small crowd going in the co-main event.

Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot Betting Odds

Fiziev vs Gamrot Odds
Rafael Fiziev-160
Mateusz Gamrot+130

Odds as of Sept. 18

Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on Fiziev's -160 odds (61.54% implied chance) pays out $162.50. The same $100 on Gamrot at +130 (43.48% implied chance) pays out $230.

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Gamrot

This lightweight lasershow kicks off a strong upcoming stretch for the UFC.

  • Date/Time: September 23, 4 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: T-Mobile Arena
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, Cable Provider

Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot Tale Of The Tape

FighterRafael FizievMateusz Gamrot
Record12-2 (6-2 UFC)22-2 (5-2 UFC)
Avg. Fight Time12:1612:16
Sig. Strikes Per Minute5.063.03
Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute5.173.23
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes0.314.54
Takedown Accuracy40%34%
Takedown Defense90%90%

Fiziev vs Gamrot Betting Preview

This fight will feature 25 minutes of some of the purest athleticism in mixed martial arts.

How to Bet This Fight

Let's take stock of each guy's strengths. Both guys are lean, muscle machines capable of high-flying acrobatics in the cage for 25 minutes. Fiziev is stronger and carries more wallop in his punches, while Gamrot is a slicker wrestler.

"Ataman" has an incredible chin — he's a tank who walked through 15 minutes of Justin Gaethje uppercuts last time around. Honestly, we can eliminate a Gamrot stoppage altogether.

My gut tells me this bout goes five full rounds, and, in that scenario, I favor the Pole Gamrot. He's a cardio monster capable of rolling around the cage all evening. Eventually, Fiziev, even with his 90% takedown defense, will relent to the ground game and have to tussle in Gamrot's element. 

Fiziev vs Gamrot Betting Pick

This fight will be fought on a razor-thin margin. If the bout goes the distance as I predicted, we could even see a split decision.

In such a close one, I'm riding with the underdog. Give me Gamrot straight up.

Pick: Gamrot to win (+130); Fight Goes The Distance (TBD)