Holly Holm is an underdog vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Holm vs Bueno Silva Odds & Picks: Good Bout For An Upset

After riding the highs of a flawless UFC 290 card, the promotion returns with a Fight Night event this Saturday between female bantamweights Holly Holm and Mayra Bueno Silva.

This five-round main event takes place at the Apex in Las Vegas, where prelim fights begin at 7 p.m. ET and the main card kicks off at 10 p.m.

While this Holm vs Bueno Silva matchup isn't super electric, the odds are close. As of now, "The Preacher's Daughter" is a -175 favorite over the Brazilian.

Holly Holm vs Mayra Bueno Silva Odds

Holm vs Bueno Silva Odds
Holly Holm-175
Mayra Bueno Silva+150

Odds as of July 13

Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on Holm's -175 odds (63.64% implied chance) pays out $157.14. The same $100 on Bueno Silva at +150 (40% implied chance) pays out $250.

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Bueno Silva

Another day, another Apex card.

  • Date/Time: July 15, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, Cable Provider

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card & Betting Odds

Here's Saturday's lineup in Vegas.

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Bueno Silva Fight Card Odds
  • Main Card
  • Women's Bantamweight Main Event – Holly Holm (-175) vs Mayra Bueno Silva (+150)
  • Middleweight – Albert Duraev (+125) vs Jun Yong Park (-150)
  • Heavyweight – Walt Harris (-188) vs Josh Parisian (+162)
  • Women's Bantamweight – Norma Dumont (-150) vs Chelsea Chandler (+125)
  • Lightweight – Ottman Azaitar (+110) vs Francisco Prado (-138)
  • Lightweight – Terrance McKinney (+125) vs Nazim Sadykhov (-150)
  • Prelims
  • Featherweight – Melsik Baghdasaryan (-210) vs Tucker Lutz (+175)
  • Women's Bantamweight – Viktoriya Dudakova (-275) vs Istela Nunes (+225)
  • Featherweight – Austin Lingo (+180) vs Melquizael Costa (-220)
  • Lightweight – Genaro Valdez (+225) vs Evan Elder (-275)
  • Flyweight – Tyson Nam (+300) vs Azat Maksum (-400)
  • Lightweight – Carl Deaton III (+110) vs Alex Munoz (-138)
  • Women's Bantamweight – Ashlee Evans-Smith (+125) vs Ailin Perez (-150)

Odds as of July 13

Holly Holm vs Mayra Bueno Silva Tale Of The Tape

FighterHolly HolmMayra Bueno Silva
Record15-6 (8-6 UFC)10-2-1 (5-2-1 UFC)
Avg. Fight Time17:298:50
Sig. Strikes Per Minute3.174.20
Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute2.774.71
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes0.920.38
Takedown Accuracy31%50%
Takedown Defense78%67%

Holm vs Bueno Silva Betting Preview: Who Has The Better Chance?

Will Holm finally hit a wall at 41 years old? I don't think so, but let's dig a little deeper and map out a Fight Night betting pick.

How Bueno Silva Wins

I'm always wary of betting on pure grappling specialists. MMA is a complicated sport, and if the jiu-jitsu doesn't work and a fighter has no other route to victory, things get ugly.

"Sheetara" has four UFC wins by submission (she's best on the ground) but she can also generate offense in other ways. Bueno Silva is vicious with her kicks, either to the calves or the midsection. She's a really deceptive striker, too, twisting her legs and arms to strike through an opponent's guard.

Silva is a solid bantamweight. She wins by attacking Holm on the feet, and either falling back on the jiu-jitsu if she gets damaged or using the ground game to secure a stoppage win. 

How Holm wins

A durable, well-rounded fighter such as Holm will always get the upper hand versus soft opponents. Unfortunately, she now faces a dangerous finisher in Bueno Silva.

Holm is smart, meaning she won't dive into pretzel-like jiu-jitsu exchanges, and she'll stuff most of the takedowns. I think Holm needs to be wary of the Brazilian's knifing strikes, though.

Holm wins this fight by confusing Bueno Silva on the feet. Stick and move. Clinch. Counter. 

Holm vs Bueno Silva Betting Pick

Holm is a legend, no doubt, but I quite like Bueno Silva in this matchup. Sheetara has far more upside, and I'm very intrigued to watch how her striking plays against a thistly opponent like Holm.

Give me Bueno Silva to win (+130) and the fight to go the distance (TBD).

Pick: Bueno Silva to win (+130); fight goes the distance (tBD).

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