Anthony Smith takes on Johnny Walker in a thrilling light heavyweight showdown on May 13. The 205-pound bout will serve as the co-main event at UFC on ABC 4, which is headlined by Jailton Almeida and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
We currently have pick'em odds in the Smith vs Walker bout.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Walker Betting Odds
Odds as of May 12
With a pick'em line, our odds calculator gives each guy a 52.38% chance to win, and a $10 bet pays out $19.09.
How To Watch UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs Almeida
UFC on ABC 4: Full Card & Betting Odds
Odds as of May 12
Smith vs Walker Betting Preview: Who Will Win?
Is Big Johnny Walker for real? Or will a wily veteran like Smith end his winning streak?
How Walker Wins
The Brazilian wins by making this fight physical, by turning it into a bloodbath. There’s no one in the UFC – apart from Jon Jones, maybe – that possesses Walker’s blend of reach, athleticism and power. He can beat Smith by locking on him early, cutting off the Octagon and laying a beating.
Walker must capitalize within the first five minutes of this fight. His power is incredible, but it comes at the cost of a very limited gas tank. And against an experienced brawler like Smith, you don’t want to be on the floor in the third round, wrestling for dear life.
The 31-year-old might be at his peak in the UFC. He wins by using his quick-twitch readiness and striking at the perfect moment.
How Smith Wins
Smith can’t win this bout through simple takedowns. Walker’s long arms and legs make entries difficult – a knee or uppercut could put a firm stop on “Lionheart” and his attempts to level-change. But that’s not necessarily the only route the American has to victory. He’s scrappy and quite sharp at counter-punching.
The 34-year-old was last finished by Glover Texeira in 2020, during a prolonged beating where Smith handed several of his teeth to referee Jason Herzog. That’s one hell of a dedication to your craft. And I see some intangible advantages on Smith’s end. The 18-fight UFC veteran will watch more film on Walker and have a comprehensive gameplan to dismantle the monstrous Brazilian.
Smith doesn’t make very many mistakes, which means Walker won’t have a ton of openings to pop off. The key to victory will be about protecting himself but also staying active with the ones and twos.
Smith vs walker Pick
I really want to pick Smith, but I don’t think his body will hold up against the immense force of Walker. The Rio de Janeiro native possesses nuclear strength in all his attacks, and that damage will rack up. Smith is smart about defending himself, but that could easily help Walker pace himself as he searches for windows to blitz in.
I’ll take Walker to win, with a sprinkle on him to stop Smith inside the distance.