Max Holloway will once again try to reclaim the UFC featherweight title he lost to Alexander Volkanovski over two years ago when he steps into the Octagon to face the reigning champion for a third time in the co-main event at UFC 276.
UFC 276 is set to take place on Saturday, July 2, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with all the action available on PPV. Currently riding an epic 21-fight win streak, Volkanovski makes his fourth defense of the UFC featherweight crown perched as a strong betting favorite.
Also, check out an in-depth look at the main event with our Adesanya vs Cannonier odds article.
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Alexander Volkanovski vs Max Holloway Betting Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has got you covered with all the UFC 276 odds, and has listed Alexander Volkanovski as a -210 favorite, while longtime former champion Max Holloway sits well off the pace as a +165 underdog.
That means Volkanovski backers must wager $210 to generate potential winnings of $100, while a successful $100 bet on Holloway will produce tidy winnings of $165.
Odds as of July at Sportsbook
A deeper dive into the Volkanovski vs Holloway betting line using our sports betting calculator shows that the champion’s -210 odds translate to an implied win probability of 67.74 percent, while Holloway’s odds reflect an implied win probability of just 37.74 percent.
This clash is one of two championship matchups on the UFC 276 main card and provides a great opportunity for fans to get into UFC betting action for the first time. So head on over to our How to Bet on UFC guide to learn about UFC betting.
Volkanovski vs Holloway Odds Analysis
Volkanovski has maintained his winning ways since eking out victories in a pair of instant classic matchups with Holloway in 2019 and 2020.
“Alexander the Great” is coming off a decisive fourth-round TKO win over the Korean Zombie at UFC 273 that paid out on short -700 odds and earned the 33-year-old Australian his first career performance of the night bonus.
While Volkanovski has consistently been perched as betting chalk over his past 10 fights, the odds he sported vs the Korean Zombie were the shortest of his UFC career.
Consecutive defeats at the hands of Volkanovski did not take the shine off Holloway at the sportsbooks. The popular Hawaiian was massive -720 chalk in his most recent outing, a unanimous-decision win over Yair Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 42, and has sported negative odds in seven of his past eight fights.
The lone exception during that run was his loss in his rematch with Alexander the Great at UFC 251, where he lagged as a +170 bet.
Volkanovski vs Holloway Betting Preview
Volkanovski has steadily evolved his fight game during his impressive win streak. A talented striker who ranks among the all-time leading UFC featherweights in significant strike accuracy, strikes landed and striking differential, the 33-year-old emerged as a knockout specialist early in his career.
Overall, 12 of his 24 career victories have come by KO or TKO, including his crushing victory over the Korean Zombie last time. However, the champion has regularly gone the distance in recent contests, with seven of his past 10 fights getting decided by the judges.
A background in Roman-Greco wrestling along with a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu have also made Volkanovski a formidable opponent on the mat.
But while he successfully took down Holloway on three occasions during their second tilt at UFC 251, it was Volkanovski’s ability to outstrike Holloway that proved key to his victories in each of their previous meetings.
Can ‘Blessed’ Reclaim Lost Glory?
Any concerns that Holloway is past his prime have been laid to rest by dominating performances in his two outings since his second date with Volkanovski two years ago.
“Blessed” left no doubt while tallying five-round unanimous-decision wins over Calvin Kattar and Yair Rodriguez, outstriking them by a combined margin of 698-320 while earning back-to-back Fight of the Night bonuses.
The question facing Holloway now is what he can do differently to avoid defeat in his third date with the man who took his UFC featherweight strap at UFC 245.
Holloway is the all-time leader among UFC featherweights with 10 finishes and eight KO/TKO wins, and he also enjoys a five-inch height advantage over Volkanovski. However, the champion’s two-inch reach advantage has been a problem for Blessed.
Volkanovski vs Holloway Betting Pick
UFC betting fans should expect another slugfest when these two fighters complete their trilogy at UFC 276. With both fighters accustomed to lengthy clashes, and neither landing a knockdown during their previous two meetings, no one should be surprised to see this battle go the distance.
And given Holloway’s recent form and the razor-thin margin of defeat in his two previous clashes with Volkanovski, the talented Hawaiian’s lengthy odds provide the greater betting value.