Two middleweight contenders will meet with an opportunity to climb the rankings and inch closer to a title shot in this week’s UFC Fight Night. Headlining the card is No. 3-ranked Jared Cannonier and No. 9-ranked Kelvin Gastelum.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum is taking place at the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada, this Saturday with the prelims beginning at 7:00 p.m. ET. Looking at the Cannonier vs Gastelum odds in the main event, it is the higher-ranked Cannonier that is the betting favorite.
Jared Cannonier was enjoying a good run in the middleweight division, winning three fights in a row, all by knockout, before running into former champion Robert Whittaker in his last outing when he suffered a decision loss.
Meanwhile, Kelvin Gastelum was mired in a three-fight losing skid from 2019 into 2020 but emerged with a decisive win earlier this year before taking another loss in April to the aforementioned Whittaker.
Cannonier vs Gastelum Odds
Online sportsbook [Sportsbook not available for your region] have the Cannonier vs Gastelum odds, as well as all of the rest of the UFC Fight Night betting lines, and Cannonier is listed as the -145 favorite and Gastelum, the +120 underdog. For you to profit $100 with a Jared victory, you need to place a $145 bet, while a $100 winning wager on Kelvin would net you $120.
Using our sports betting calculator to help further the Cannonier vs Gastelum odds, we can see that Jared’s -145 line offers an implied win probability of 59.18 percent while Gastelum as a 45.45 percent implied win probability.
The largest favorite in the UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum odds is Chase Sherman (-200) in his heavyweight bout with Parker Porter (+160). Conversely, the tightest betting line comes in the lightweight bout between Vinc Pichel and Austin Hubbard which is set as a pick 'em with both men holding -110 odds.
Cannonier vs Gastelum Betting Odds & Fight Card
- Main Card
- Middleweight – Jared Cannonier (-145) vs Kelvin Gastelum (+120)
- Lightweight – Clay Guida (+130) vs Mark Madsen (-155)
- Heavyweight – Parker Porter (+160) vs Chase Sherman (-200)
- Lightweight – Vinc Pichel (-115) vs Austin Hubbard (-105)
- Flyweight – Alexandre Pantoja (-175) vs Brandon Royval (+145)
- Prelims
- Bantamweight -- Trevin Jones (-150) vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov (+125)
- Featherweight – Austin Lingo (+105) vs Luis Saldana (-125)
- Bantamweight – Brian Kelleher (-185) vs Domingo Pilarte (+150)
- Women’s Bantamweight – Bea Malecki (-165) vs Josiane Nunes (+135)
- Light Heavyweight – William Knight (-175) vs Fabio Cherant (+145)
- Lightweight – Roosevelt Roberts (-150) vs Ignacio Bahamondes (+125)
- Welterweight – Sasha Palatnikov (+120) vs Ramiz Brahimaj (-145)
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- Date/Time: August 21, 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: UFC Apex
- Where to Watch: ESPN/ESPN+
Jared Cannonier vs Kelvin Gastelum Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jared Cannonier | -145 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | +120 |
Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier (-145) began his UFC career at heavyweight but has made his home at middleweight with a 3-1 record, only losing to former champion Robert Whittaker. Meanwhile, Kelvin Gastelum (+120) has hit a wall since his fight of the year with Israel Adesanya for the interim belt in 2019. Gastelum lost that bout and three of his next four bouts as well.
- As mentioned, Cannonier began his career at heavyweight and had knockout wins in that division, light heavyweight and now middleweight. He carries a 13-5 record with 11 stoppage wins (nine knockouts and two submissions).
- Despite fighting at larger weights, The Killa Gorilla’s frame fits well at middleweight, standing 5-foot-11 with a 77-inch reach. Don’t look for any takedowns from him, though, having landed just one of his over his 11-fight UFC career.
- It is on the feet where Cannonier prefers to work, averaging 3.70 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 3.09. He doesn’t rush his attacks, constantly walking forward looking to get into an exchange but does so intelligently.
- He has good leg kicks at longer ranger which he uses frequently to slow his opponents’ movements. At times, he relies on one strike at a time and can be caught watching his foes which leads to him taking shots from a faster counterpart.
- Cannonier’s last three fights were Anderson Silva (win – knockout), Jack Hermansson (win – knockout) and Robert Whittaker (loss – unanimous decision).
- We have watched Gastelum grow up in front of our eyes, winning The Ultimate Fighter 17 in 2013. Now, at 29, he’s making his 20th walk to the Octagon and he has fought six former champions over his UFC career. His record stands at 16-7 and one no contest, with 10 stoppage wins (six knockouts and four submissions) while only being submitted twice.
- The southpaw is a well-rounded fighter, averaging 1.16 takedowns per 15 minutes and secured a career high of six in his win over Ian Heinisch earlier this year.
- He moves well in the cage, constantly trying to get his opponents to move and the capitalizing when they fall into his trap. At times, he doesn’t cut the cage off effectively, relying too much on his left hand.
- Like Cannonier, Gastelum also has good leg kicks which he uses early to hopefully hamper his foes’ movements so that he can land that big left straight.
- Gastelum’s last three fights were Jack Hermansson (loss – submission), Ian Heinisch (win – unanimous decision) and Robert Whittaker (loss – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum (+120) via decision
Clay Guida vs Mark Madsen Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Clay Guida | +130 |
| Mark Madsen | -155 |
Laying his perfect 10-0 record on the line is Mark “The Olympian” Madsen (-155) who has also won his first two bouts in the UFC. Looking to slap a loss on Madsen’s record is Clay “The Carpenter” Guida (+130), who picked up a win earlier this year, his first victory in nearly two years.
- A legend and veteran of the cage, this is the 31st fight in the UFC for Guida, making his debut in 2006. Overall, he is 36-20 with 20 stoppage wins (seven knockouts and 13 submissions) and 12 losses by finish (two knockouts and 10 submissions).
- The Carpenter is always in perpetual motion, constantly bouncing around for the duration of the bout with seemingly endless energy. This allows him to be elusive on the feet and disguise his takedown attempts.
- He averages 3.36 takedowns per 15 minutes and the more tired his foes get, the more the momentum swings in his favor. Guida isn’t a huge threat on the feet, has a decent leg kick and a big overhand right but his path to victory is tempo and wrestling.
- Guida’s last three fights were Jim Miller (loss – submission), Bobby Green (loss – unanimous decision) and Michael Johnson (win – unanimous decision).
- Madsen began his MMA career in 2013 but took a hiatus from 2014-18 as he left to compete in the 2016 Rio Olympic Games where he won silver in Greco-Roman. He is 10-0 with three knockouts, three submissions and four decisions.
- With two Olympic Games under his belt, it should come as no surprise that The Olympian relies on his grappling to win MMA bouts. He secured eight takedowns in his latest win which came in March 2020.
- Madsen does cut the cage off really well but does have some difficulties closing the distance because his striking is very basic and he tends to absorb damage when getting close. That said, if he gets his hands on his foe, they are going for a ride.
- Madsen’s last three fights were Patrick Nielsen (win – submission), Danilo Belluardo (win – knockout) and Austin Hubbard (win – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Mark Madsen (-155) via decision
Parker Porter vs Chase Sherman Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Parker Porter | +160 |
| Chase Sherman | -200 |
Looking to get back in the win column after having a four-fight winning streak snapped in his last appearance is Chase “The Vanilla Gorilla” Sherman (-200). Meanwhile, Parker Porter (+160) is looking for back-to-back wins after earning his first UFC victory last November.
- Porter has had a very inconsistent career with no streak (winning or losing) of more than two in a row. His record stands at 10-6 with eight of his wins coming by finish (five knockouts and three submissions), while five of his defeats were stoppages (three knockouts and two submissions).
- Although he tips the scale at the heavyweight limit of 265 pounds, he had an impressive performance in his last outing, landing 126 significant strikes which is a high tempo for that weight class.
- He has tree trunk legs, he is aggressive and loves getting in a brawl. Porter lumbers forward willing to get in clinch battle and let his hands fly at close range. His conditioning may be his best weapon with the ability to keep punching late in the fight, though, he lacks big power.
- Porter’s last three fights were Dirlei Broenstrup (win – knockout), Chris Daukaus (loss – knockout) and Josh Parisian (win – unanimous decision).
- Sherman was cut from the UFC in 2018 after losing five of seven fights but returned to the promotion last May. He holds a 15-7 record with 14 wins coming by way of knockout but also four losses in the same fashion.
- The Vanilla Gorilla has landed exactly no takedowns over his a nine-fight UFC career, preferring to keep the feet standing. He, like Porter, has a solid output of 6.00 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.77. He has surpassed 100 significant strikes twice and 75 four times.
- Sherman moves very well for a heavyweight but doesn’t come in at the limit. When he’s rushed, he tends to back straight up with his chin in the air and he bites on plenty of feints, while also very hesitant to trust his hands.
- Sherman’s last three fights were Rashaun Jackson (win – knockout), Isaac Villanueva (win – knockout) and Andrei Arlovski (loss – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Parker Porter (+160) via decision
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Vinc Pichel vs Austin Hubbard Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | -115 |
| Austin Hubbard | -105 |
Two lightweights coming off wins in their last outings will collide as Austin “Thud” Hubbard (-105) looks for a second win a row, having been on a win-one, lose-one streak over his last six fights. As for Vinc “From Hell” Pichel (-115), he’s won two straight since his first submission loss in 2018.
- Pichel has had a fairly successful UFC career going 6-2 but injuries have really halted his career, fighting only eight times in almost nine years. He is 13-2 with eight knockout wins and both of his defeats were stoppages – one knockout and one submission.
- From Hell is a gritty fighter, always marching forward looking to get his hands on his foes to get into a grappling exchange. He averages 3.83 takedowns per 15 minutes and landed three in each of his last two outings.
- On the feet, he consistently will batter his opponents’ legs with leg kicks and he has a snappy jab. He does a good job throwing straight punches and he has fairly solid head movement at strikes coming back the other way.
- Pichel’s last three fights were Gregor Gillespie (loss – submission), Roosevelt Roberts (win – unanimous decision) and Jim Miller (win – unanimous decision).
- Since the beginning of his UFC career in 2019, Hubbard is 3-3 with no streak, winning or losing, over that span. Overall, he is 13-5 with five knockout wins and he has been submitted twice.
- Thud is an aggressive fighter, always moving forward looking to get into a brawl. At times, he will close the distance, get inside and then fail to throw a strike only to absorb one at that range.
- However, he’s never been knocked out and if his opponents can’t keep up the pace they are in trouble as Hubbard will keep the pressure all fight. Takedowns have also been an issue, stuffing only 58 percent of takedown attempts against.
- Hubbard’s last three fights were Max Rohskopf (win – knockout), Joe Solecki (loss – submission) and Dakota Bush (win – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Vinc Pichel (-115) via decision
Alexandre Pantoja vs Brandon Royval Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja | -175 |
| Brandon Royval | +145 |
Two highly-ranked flyweights will open the card with hopes of inching closer to a title shot. Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja (-175) is the No. 3-ranked flyweight but is 2-2 over his last four but is coming off of a win in February. Meanwhile, Brandon “Raw Dawg” Royval (+145) won his first two UFC bouts but lost to now-champion, Brandon Moreno, last November and sits sixth in the rankings.
- Pantoja has never fought for the championship, but has been very close, losing to former champion, Deiveson Figueiredo and has a win over current champ, Moreno. He holds a 23-5 record with eight knockout wins and eight submission victories while all of his defeats were decisions.
- The Cannibal extremely aggressive regardless where the fight goes. He will attack on the feet, closing the distance to land strikes or get into a grappling exchange. On the floor, he’s constantly searching for submissions or will tie up his foe to limit any damage.
- When striking, if he is to go first it’s typically a kick, while he usually counters with his punches which have knockout power behind them. We have seen Pantoja slow at times, especially in high-tempo grappling bouts.
- Pantoja’s last three fights were Matt Schnell (win – knockout), Askar Askarov (loss – unanimous decision) and Manel Kape (win – unanimous decision).
- Royval was the LFA flyweight champion prior to making the move over to the UFC. His record stands at 12-5 with 11 stoppage wins, eight of which were submissions and he’s only been stopped once, a TKO due to an injury in his last outing to Moreno.
- Raw Dawg is a wild fighter, always having fun in the cage as he moves around quickly and aggressively. Royval always moves forward, throwing lots of kicks and in tight, he will throw plenty of strikes until his opponent backs away.
- He doesn’t necessarily look for many takedowns but on the floor he has exception submission skills. Raw Dawg does carry his hands low and he will eat a shot to land one of his own, having never truly been knocked out, but still a dangerous game to play.
- Royval’s last three fights were Tim Elliott (win – submission), Kai Kara-France (win – submission) and Brandon Moreno (loss – knockout).
Prediction: Brandon Royval (+145) via decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum Best Bets
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Middleweight -- Kelvin Gastelum | +120 |
| Lightweight -- Mark Madsen | -155 |
| Heavyweight -- Parker Porter | +160 |
| Lightweight -- Vinc Pichel | -115 |
| Flyweight Brandon Royval | +145 |
