Some heavy hitters will do battle at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday as Thiago Santos (22-10) squares off against Jamahal Hill (10-1) in a highly anticipated five-round light heavyweight bout.
Preliminary bouts begin at 7 p.m. ET and the main card kicks off at 10 p.m., with Hill the resounding -275 favorite in Santos vs Hill odds.
Santos vs Hill Betting Notes
Over the years, “Marreta,” currently ranked sixth, did a good job establishing himself as one of the UFC’s most fearsome fighters at 205 pounds, but things have come unglued lately, particularly after Santos lost to Jon Jones by split decision at UFC 239.
Since that fateful defeat to Jones, it’s been nothing but pain for the 38-year-old, who’s now lost three of his last four bouts. His most recent loss came in a five-round decision snooze-fest vs Magomed Ankalaev at the Apex in March.
Officially past his prime, the underdog Santos (+265) is looking to prove he’s still got some juice in him, though a tough test awaits against Hill (-350), the UFC’s 10th-best light heavyweight. “Sweet Dreams” has blossomed into a fabulous knockout artist, winning three of his last four fights by KO, with his most recent handiwork resulting in a physics-defying knockout of Johnny Walker.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Hill Odds
Bodog lists Hill as the -350 favorite, with Santos lagging behind as the +265 underdog.
Fight fans looking for a big payout can peek at an interesting lightweight bout, where Erick Gonzalez slides in as a massive +600 underdog against Terrance McKinney (-1100).
The tightest odds on the card appear in a women’s bantamweight showdown between Stephanie Egger (-120) and Mayra Bueno Silva (EVEN).
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Hill Betting Odds & Fight Card
Odds as of August 6 via Bodog
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Thiago Santos vs Jamahal Hill Odds & Pick
Hill has been the favorite in five of his six career UFC fights, but never by as much as his -275 odds vs Santos. The 31-year-old is coming off consecutive vicious knockouts of Walker (-235) and Jimmy Crute (+150), in which he earned Performance of the Night both times.
Santos is on a brutal skid, having lost four of his last five, with his only win a decision victory over Walker. The Brazilian was a +450 underdog in his last fight vs Ankalaev, which initially gave bettors some value since it seemed possible Santos’ experience could carry him to victory. Instead, Marreta settled for a decision loss.
Pick: Hill (-350), OVER 2.5 Rounds (+130)
Vicente Luque vs Geoff Neal Odds & Pick
A welterweight bout between Vicente Luque (21-8-1) and Geoff Neal (14-4) is the co-main at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Hill. The Brazilian enters as the -200 favorite, leaving Neal at +157.
This fight is a clever bit of matchmaking by the UFC. Since Luque, ranked sixth, lost his last bout to Belal Muhammad, a test against Neal, the No. 13 welterweight, offers a chance for a rebound performance.
Pick: Luque by KO/TKO (+155)
Bryan Battle vs Takashi Sato Odds & Pick
An interesting prelim fight will take place Saturday between welterweights Bryan Battle (7-1) and Takashi Sato (16-5). Battle, the Ultimate Fighter’s season 29 winner, is the -310 favorite, while Sato enters as the +240 underdog.
Pick: Battle by submission (+265)
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Odds Shark Staff Sat, Aug 13, 4:03am